# Dead Reckoning

Independent analysis of Australian and Indo-Pacific national security, strategy, and statecraft. Named authorship, sourced argument, no institutional line.

Page: <https://rssamplifier.com/geomastery-substack-com>  
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## [Supply Chain Anatomy: AIMs](https://geomastery.substack.com/p/supply-chain-anatomy-aims)

_2026-08-18 · Christopher Lyon_

The rise of drone warfare, along with the technological edge in the race to assure aerial supremacy, has nations scrambling for air defence. There aren't enough rounds in the rack for everyone.

## [Supply Chain Anatomy: NASAMS](https://geomastery.substack.com/p/supply-chain-anatomy-nasams)

_2026-08-13 · Christopher Lyon_

NASAMS have shown their worth in Ukraine, and now the ammunition can't keep up.

## [A Harder Target](https://geomastery.substack.com/p/a-harder-target)

_2026-08-10 · Lesley Seebeck_

Continuing the argument from The Cyber Strategy Trap, the AI–cyber problem has fallen between portfolios. Settling who owns it means first settling what owning it would take.

## [Supply Chain Anatomy: Spike LR2](https://geomastery.substack.com/p/supply-chain-anatomy-spike-lr2)

_2026-08-06 · Christopher Lyon_

Rafael's Spike LR2 is set to be crucial to Australia's anti-tank capability in the field, but hasn't managed to develop any genuine level of local production that ongoing usage will require.

## [The cyber strategy trap](https://geomastery.substack.com/p/the-cyber-strategy-trap)

_2026-08-03 · Lesley Seebeck_

Australia’s cyber strategy has been busy measuring its own delivery. The other players have changed the rules.

## [Supply Chain Anatomy: Kongsberg NSM/JSM](https://geomastery.substack.com/p/supply-chain-anatomy-kongsberg-nsmjsm)

_2026-07-30 · Christopher Lyon_

Australia's forthcoming Kongsberg factory deepens critical supply chain options, both for Australia and for Kongsberg's global customers. It doesn't necessarily increase sovereign capability.

## [Albanese’s Australian Economy: The Three-Body Problem](https://geomastery.substack.com/p/albaneses-australian-economy-the)

_2026-07-29 · Lesley Seebeck_

Three economic philosophies, one government, and no stable solution.

## [The Australian University System: The Locked Rotor](https://geomastery.substack.com/p/the-australian-university-system)

_2026-07-27 · Lesley Seebeck_

Australia's universities cannot adapt to AI. Every lock has the same keyholder.

## [Ambitious Australia Part 3: An AUKUS case study](https://geomastery.substack.com/p/ambitious-australia-part-3-an-aukus)

_2026-07-24 · Christopher Lyon_

The Department of Defence's control over Australia's execution of AUKUS has done more to hinder than aid Australia's ability to gain from the trilateral arrangement.

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_2026-07-24 · **Sponsored**_

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## [Universities in the Shadow of AI](https://geomastery.substack.com/p/universities-in-the-shadow-of-ai)

_2026-07-20 · Lesley Seebeck_

AI removes the utilitarian argument for universities at the exact moment the democratic argument is the only one left.