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Investing in Financial History

This newsletter provides commentary on current financial events by explaining them in the context of financial history. The newsletter draws from the book "Investing in U.S. Financial History," which arrives in bookstores in February 27 2024.

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Speculative Supply Chains and the Madness of Crowds

How Rational Incentives Aggregate into Irrational Outcomes

The American Story is One of Progress Forged in Suffering and Resilience

The Present is no Exception Nor Will the Future Likely Be

The Voluntary Blindness of Modern Finance

Why Conventional Models That Guide Policy and Capital Allocation Fail When Outcomes Matter Most

The Music Has Stopped in Private Markets

Two Decades of Excess Capital Are Trapped at the Exits

Born to Run: Evergreen Private Markets Funds

How liquidity engineering, performance dynamics, and competitive diseconomies of scale create severe run risk

Incentives Are Dangerously Aligned in Private Markets

The Speculative Supply Chain is Operating at Full Capacity

The Forsaken Playbooks of the Federal Reserve

Ignoring History Raised the Odds of a Great Inflation-Like Event

The Gilded Age Circus is Back in Town

One-Day Gains are Fueling Dangerous Speculation in Secondaries

Americans Must Resurrect the Spirit of Alexander Hamilton

The Nation’s Survival Depends on It

Buyers Beware of the Toll-Laden Bridges to Private Markets

Institutional Investors Draw Retail Investors in so They Can Get Out