News, Opinion and Analysis on Cincinnati, Ohio and Other Whims
The 2025 Cincinnati Elections were historic dominating victories for the Democratic Party. The wins came in the City Council and Mayoral races. I must admit I was astonished by the Council election massive victory. Let me just repeat that: MASSIVE VICTORY. Based on the unofficial final results the 10th place finisher, Republican Liz Keating, was 9,163 votes away from a seat on council. That is far…
The polls open soon and I am up bright and early. I will be pulling live turnout data from the Hamilton County BOE website today and parsing the City proper rates throughout the day. If you want to do this your self, you can do so here . Early look indicates a higher Absentee/Early vote turnout as compared to 2021. Nothing will approach turnout in 2023, which was fuel by the abortion ballot issue…
We are in the home stretch of the City of Cincinnati Mayoral and Council elections. I have some observations that I have made and figured I share. No Earth shattering news at this point, which is what I expected and unless you are a fool that is what you should have expect too. The Mayoral Election is not in doubt. This is most clear when the Republican challenger put his home up for sale and…
The field of candidates for the Cincinnati City Council Election is set and I am taken aback by the number of local journalists who are desperate for a competitive race. The desire for entraining political content is what masquerades as political journalism a quarter of the way into the 21st Century. This month we had some prior Republican members of council jump in to the race with the hopes that…
In the Summer my motivation to write about politics does not normally find a good footing. I was not sure that I was going to even write an update for July. This month made something clear to me. I have been observing and writing about Cincinnati Politics for a long time, over twenty years. There are not many politicians that I find more repulsive than Steve Goodin. I mean there are far worse…
The Democratic Party made their endorsements this month and with only minor opposition picked all eight current members of Council. The ninth went to new candidate Ryan James. There were a small number of party members who wanted to repeat a past mistake and endorse ten candidates, but the overwhelming majority of party member present easily prevented that foolishness from occurring. We know of…
The Cincinnati Council Election is slowly taking shape. We are seeing the Democratic candidates vying for an endorsement get closer to getting on the ballot. We are seeing more candidates take out petitions to get on the ballot. There are not any new candidates entering the race with significant following or campaign capacity. There are still no public signs that more candidates are fundraising,…
Big News in the Cincinnati City Council 2025 Election: Council Member Victoria Parks announced in January that she will not be seeking reelection to City Council. That provides a very small shake up to the race. I will repeat: a very SMALL shake up. At this point there are no indications that the domination from Democrats will face any serious challenge. Candidates that are serious are raising…
If you pay attention to Cincinnati politics, you should have seen the news articles about JD Vance’s half-brother running for Mayor of Cincinnati. Yes, I am annoyed by them. Sure, coverage of local politics is a positive, but this was not about local politics. This was about tapping into fame for audience share. The local media did the usual bad job of reporting and just wrote puff pieces. They…
Welcome to Cincinnati City Council Election Year 2025! We are 295 days away from the November election and there is some surprising news: We have a significant number of people who have taken out petitions to run for council. The BOE's website snuck this list in on Friday and it very much may not be a complete list, as three rows with blank names were included on the file and three incumbents were…
With the demise of Twitter and now Meta creating a stench that will drive away users, local governments need to include all significant social media platforms. This should not be a significant expense and if managed correctly would be a very limited increase in staff time. The City of Cincinnati and Hamilton County, include its agencies, should lead the way. The platforms that need to be added…
Just when you want to forget about elections and politics, 2025 has arrived and for Cincinnati that means City Council and Mayoral Elections are this fall. Yes, I can see the joy in your face. The glee of a local election is like a melted plastic spatula stuck to the burner on the stove: You can't undue your failure, just fix your mistakes. The mistakes with local elections in Cincinnati at this…
The results for Hamilton County shifted slightly towards Republicans in the Presidential race. The table below lists out the Cincinnati neighborhoods and County municipality or township. The data used for the Cincinnati Neighborhoods are approximations based on assignment of each precinct to one neighborhood. Therefore the underlying totals do is not exactly match the defined boundaries by census…
Turnout in Hamilton County was down 3.5% compared to 2020. Here's a breakdown by City vs Non-City: If you want a simple representation of the Macro analysis of the election, all you have to do is compare this to a few other counties in Ohio: Turnout fell in suburban counties, but less than it dropped in the urban county. The hypothesis that follows is that Republican votes retained more from 2020,…
Yesterday I was updating some data files that I normally use for my election analysis and I was thinking about why I am doing it. I enjoy analysis, so I want to know how Hamilton County (HamCo) votes breakdown. Which areas in the City will beat turnout from 2020? Have voting precincts changed? Lots of interesting items to play with. So much of this seems like it is just for my own amusement. Early…
I made a choice about this blog. I changed the tag line. I took out the "media analysis," but kept the "analysis." I am giving up on the news media. My efforts at blogging has entailed many things over my 20+ years of activity, but being a critic of the media has been a fairly constant thread through it all. I am publicly stating I am taking that off the masthead, so to speak. The news media is…
It is 2024. Happy New Year! Ok, so the honeymoon should be over in a Presidential Election year at about 12:04 AM on the 1st. It is day two of the year and I am looking ahead. Local elections are happening this year, but for Cincinnati there is not going to be much for me to write and think about. The Hamilton County Prosecuting Attorney and Sheriff races will be interesting to watch and should be…
Hamilton County voter turnout was the highest level for a local election in recent memory. Abortion rights drove most of the additional turnout. Here is voter turnout by Generation: These numbers are based on the updated voter registration data, not the final results, so there is a small variance. Below are final summary turnout results in the county. First broken down by City vs Non-City:…
For news junkies like myself, election night gives off a holiday eve vibe with lots to get exited about. Here is a list of what I look for: What time will the initial results come in from the Hamilton County Board of Election? The board of election reports actual voting results as fast as it can, but the first report is what I call "The Flop." This initial report is of no election day votes, but…
The election is two weeks away and for City Council, we have no change. We are still going to have 8 Democrats on City Council. The largest majority for a single party in many decades. The right wing is seething over this and leftists are angry about not getting their way with a tiny number of supporters. There is a real race for the last two spots. I personally can see three ways for it turn out:…
Early voting starts on Wednesday October 11th and it seems like there is no campaign going on. If you are reading this you might be longing for some political coverage of the election, but there really isn't anything to report. If you want drama, then you want entertainment. Political Journalism is about entertainment. There is so little good political journalism going on anywhere. One exception…
Tumble weeds are traveling across the pollical landscape in the 2023 Cincinnati City Council race. There is nearly no campaigning going on. With only ten candidates that is not a surprise. Audricia Brooks did not, after final review by the Hamilton County Board of Elections, have enough signatures on her petitions. That leaves only endorsed candidates running, with only one non incumbent. The race…
There are 11 candidates for the 2023 Cincinnati City Council election. The August 24th deadline to turn in petitions came and went this week and no additional candidates turned any in. That is the smallest number of candidates in decades, at least since 1989 and likely longer ago. There are nine Democrats, one Republican, and one Independent candidate running. Charter has yet to officially…
Without a single vote cast, I can project that the Cincinnati Democratic Party will retain AT LEAST seven seats and a super majority on Cincinnati City Council. For those skeptical of my basic math skills, please note that the Democrats have endorsed nine candidates for City Council and there are two other candidates on the ballot. So, the Democratic candidates just need to vote for themselves at…
Issue 1 went down in flames, but that was not the only development in local Politics here in Cincinnati. City Council Elections are coming up and turnout is going to drive who get's elected, partially. Turnout was higher than expected within Cincinnati for the single issue special August election. Traditionally, you can't get anyone to vote in August. The August 8th election instead had higher…