You're doomed. Here's why ...
Lala is a few hours away from the Big Island, likely to just brush the south coast as a tropical storm or minimal hurricane. Here s the CPHC Key messages regarding Tropical Storm Lala (en Español: Mensajes Claves), hurricane warnings are up for the Big Island, elsewhere tropical storm warnings: Even if technically the surface winds don t Continue reading "Lala brush with Hawai i, Atlantic…
TL;DR: Lala will be flirting with Hurricane force as it passes Hawai i over or just south of the Big Island tomorrow. Atlantic stuff still blob like, maybe some rain/gusty winds in the Eastern Caribbean as Invest AL92 passes. Tropical Storm Lala is about a day out from the Big Island, which is under a Hurricane Continue reading "Tropical Updates 14 August 2026"
TL;DR: Tropical storm for Hawai i looks more likely. Two of the disturbances in the Atlantic have been upgraded to Invest areas, only one matters. Tropical Storm Chan-Hom raining out over Japan. The Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook (TWO) this morning shows three disturbances. There are now track models for two of them, AL92 and AL93 (for Continue reading "Quick tropical updates for Atlantic and…
NHC has now increased the odds of something forming in the Atlantic later this week out of distirbance #1 to 70%. Here s the NHC outlook over an IR image the official text is Tropical Weather Outlook (en Español*). There are still no magic words, and it s not an INVEST so there is no tracking (despite Continue reading "The Blob is Red!!?11?? Hawai i, Japan update"
TL;DR: one of the three disturbances in the Atlantic might become a depression later in the week (probably be a fish storm if it does). Pacific is busy, with Hawai i in the potential track of an invest area, and a tropical storm headed to Japan. The Tropical Weather Outlook has three blobs but only one Continue reading "August Atlantic Blobwatch continues, busy Pacific"
Much to the relief of the Atlantic tropical weather-doomer community, who had been reduced to feeding on stories of super-El Ninos and below normal activity predictions, there are now two blobs of doom to fuel the endless torrent of chatter. While there have been tropical waves coming off of Africa for weeks, they have been Continue reading "Return of the Blobs of Doom"
Busy in the West Pacific this morning Typhoon Dolphin looks to have passed north of Okinawa this evening (morning US East Coast time): The bases there are essentially on lock-down until the storm passes. The storm is weaker and the core of winds smaller than a few days ago, but still estimated to cause Continue reading "Typhoon Dolphin hits Okinawa, China next; Chan-Hom headed to northern Japan"
Quick updates on Typhoon Dolphin and Savannah area rains. Typhoon Dolphin continues to track directly towards Okinawa: It remains impressive on IR this evening (Okinawa time, 6am ET), and heavy winds and rain expected there on Friday as the storm passes over or near the islands The Enki gauge in Parkside (mid-town Savannah, 203,908 Continue reading "Quick Tuesday Updates"
NWS Charleston sent this note about the thunderstorms this morning: Here s their note: Waterspouts: Forecast sounding output and elevated non-supercell tornado parameters values over the nearshore and offshore waters look to support a risk for waterspouts this morning. Satellite and radar already suggest a few cloud lines are trying to develop over the Atlantic which Continue reading "Update on…
Quick update to add: NWS Charleston sent this note about the thunderstorms this morning: Here s their note: Waterspouts: Forecast sounding output and elevated non-supercelltornado parameters values over the nearshore and offshore waterslook to support a risk for waterspouts this morning. Satelliteand radar already suggest a few cloud lines are trying todevelop over the Atlantic which Continue…