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East Wind

Random musings. From tech to policy

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The Warring States Period: Frontier Labs Edition

Just when it seemed that the frontier AI battle was a two-horse race between Anthropic and OpenAI, the events of the past few weeks changed the AI landscape.

Fable in Shackles

What the ban on Anthropic's Fable model means for intelligence sovereignty and the opportunity for investors.

Vibe Excel and the Future of White-Collar Work

For the past few months, I’ve been trying to “vibe Excel” (using ChatGPT and Anthropic’s Excel add-ons for investment workflows).

The SaaS Bloodbath: Opportunities and Perils for Investors

Software has taken a brutal beating in recent weeks, with many names down ~20% year-to-date.

Power Overwhelming

Do we need to fill a $1.5T AI revenue hole, or are AI bubble fears a nothingburger?

Capital and Industry

Why AI's moat is capital

Frontier AI Labs: the Call Option to AGI

Since the launch of ChatGPT less than three years ago, the pace of AI development has only accelerated.

The Wisdom of Bill Gurley

A Commentary on Tariffs and American Competitiveness

5 Takeaways from CalSTRS’ Private Equity Performance Report

In an era where private market investing is undergoing a sea change, CalSTRS' (California State Teachers Retirement System) latest private equity performance report provides a fascinating look at how one of America's largest pension funds navigates the complex landscape of alternative investments.

The Future of Programming: Copilots vs. Agents (Part I)

With the the launch of Github Spark and multi-model support in late October, Microsoft has fired another salvo at AI code-generation startups, bringing the competition for developer mindshare to a new level of intensity.