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Early Warning with Juliette Kayyem

What's happening today. What it means tomorrow.

earlywarningwithjuliette.substack.comSource feed ↗13 posts

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There Was No Warning

Conspiracies are growing about whether China knew about the flash floods rushing towards Nepal. There is blame to go around, but Early Warning Systems failed because they monitored rain, not ice.

The National Guard’s Defiant Yawn

President Trump deployed thousands of National Guard troops to Washington. A year later, they've barely made an impact and still don’t have a clear mission.

Beach Tents and the Social Contract

I have strong opinions about minor things.

What is Pete Hegseth?

The Secretary of Defense wants to be President. But why is he still running the Pentagon?

Good For Her Age

What surfing taught me about the art of waiting

When Air Force One Became the Decoy

President Donald Trump was ushered to safety after a security threat. Everyone else stayed on the plane.

How Israel Upended The Democratic Party

What Abdul El-Sayed’s Michigan victory reveals about Gaza, Arab voters, and an establishment I once called my own.

More Early Warning, When It Matters

A new way to receive expert analysis between weekly issues

AI Is Taking Control. That May Save Lives.

How artificial intelligence could buy us more time before disaster strikes

There Are Sharks in the Water

What Shark Week and “Jaws” teach us about the limits of public safety

The War in Iran Isn’t Over. But We’ve Already Lost.

Iran understood what President Donald Trump did not: this war would be won by controlling the clock.

ICE is Killing People. Abolishing It Isn't Enough.

After two fatal encounters involving ICE agents in less than a week, outrage isn't enough. America needs a better answer than simply defending ICE or abolishing it.

The Real Damage Wasn’t the U.S. World Cup Loss. It Was What Came Before It.

The dispute over one red card became a case study in a larger problem: once political influence becomes visible, every outcome is open to suspicion.