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Duncan Steel

Space Scientist, Author Broadcaster

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The long hunt for a diversion airport

The long hunt for a diversion airport Richard Godfrey 18th October 2016 IntroductionMH370 passed waypoint IGARI at 17:20:31 UTC, and its transponder apparently stopped sending within one minute of passing that waypoint. Similarly, the VHF radios and SATCOM stopped transmitting at around the same time (source: Malaysian Factual Information, ADS-B, ATSB, DSTG).Where did MH370 go from Continue…

Why the 60 Minutes TV programme was wrong

Why the 60 Minutes TV programme was wrong Michael Exner August 11, 2016 The 60 Minutes episode concerning the loss of MH370 as broadcast recently on Channel 9 in Australia contained numerous errors. In particular the logic behind Larry Vance s theory (that the damage to the flaperon and flap from the aircraft demonstrates that a controlled Continue reading Why the 60 Minutes TV programme was wrong

Where is MH370 and how will it be found?

Where is MH370 and how will it be found? Richard Godfrey 10th July 2016 Introduction Twenty-eight months after the disappearance of MH370, we still do not know where the aircraft crashed.The ATSB has led an underwater search and is reaching the end of their allocated funds of $180M, used to search 120,000 square kilometres of ocean Continue reading Where is MH370 and how will it be found?

Possible Flight Path for MH370 Ending North of the Current Search Zone

Possible Flight Path for MH370 Ending North of the Current Search Zone Victor Iannello, ScD, June 25, 2016 (See also the addendum at the end of this post.) Introduction The underwater search for debris from MH370 has been unsuccessful so far. The current search zone in the Southern Indian Ocean (SIO) consists of a Continue reading Possible Flight Path for MH370 Ending North of the Current Search…

What the nine debris finds may tell us about the MH370 end point

What the nine debris finds may tell us about the MH370 end point Richard Godfrey 2016 June 2nd Introduction There have so far been a total of nine finds of debris that are either suspected or confirmed to be from MH370. These are as tabulated below. The Rolls Royce name plate from an engine cowling was found twice, Continue reading What the nine debris finds may tell us about the MH370 end point

Implications of the Absence of MH370 Debris on the Coast of Western Australia

Implications of the Absence of MH370 Debris on the Coast of Western Australia Richard Godfrey and Duncan Steel 2016 May 11 Updated May 12 Introduction Several different people/groups have published reports on the drift modelling of floating debris from MH370. Brock McEwen’s Comparative Analysis of drift studies (2015 December 07) is available here. Most Continue reading Implications of the Absence…

Consideration of a Controlled Ditch Scenario for MH370

Consideration of a Controlled Ditch Scenario for MH370 Yap Fook Fah 2016 April 14 According to the Inmarsat data, there are two plausible scenarios for the terminal phase of the MH370 flight after a Final Major Turn (FMT) and about another six hours of flight southwards. For ease of reference, I will refer to these as Continue reading Consideration of a Controlled Ditch Scenario for MH370

The Routes Taken by Floating Debris from MH370

The Routes Taken by Floating Debris from MH370 Richard Godfrey 2016 April 2nd (Please see also the addenda at the end of this post, including that inserted on April 4th in which the Rodrigues fragment is identified in terms of which part of the cabin it comprised.) Preamble by Duncan Steel: Since I received Continue reading The Routes Taken by Floating Debris from MH370

Destinations of Floating Debris from MH370 Starting on the 7th Arc between 30S and 38S

Destinations of Floating Debris from MH370 Starting on the 7th Arc between 30S and 38S Richard Godfrey 2016 March 30th Updated March 31st (Report drafted March 16th) Introduction In a previous post I investigated the drift patterns across the Indian Ocean of floating debris from MH370 starting at an assumed crash location at latitude 37S Continue reading Destinations of Floating Debris from MH370…

Drift of floating debris from close to the 7th arc in the weeks following the crash of MH370

Drift of floating debris from close to the 7th arc in the weeks following the crash of MH370 Richard Godfrey 2016 March 24th Initial comments The discovery (and sizes) of several pieces of MH370 (some awaiting confirmation) in La Réunion, Mozambique and South Africa, when coupled with geographical drift probability evaluations (see this post; Continue reading Drift of floating debris from close to…