Market recap #203

Warren Pies@WarrenPies

Are datacenter delays, or cancellations, impacting the AI buildout? Not yet. Chart below from @fernavid 's most recent AI update plots every DC project's construction progress since groundbreaking. 2026 projects actually tracking ahead of schedule (vs 28-month timeline).

AskLivermore@asklivermore

Semiconductors entered their 13th bear market in 31 years last month. That is once every 2.4 years. This is not unusual. This is what semis do. Here is every $SOX crash since 1995 and how long it took to recover: • Asian Crisis: -50%, recovered in 3 months • Trade War 2018:

Serenity@aleabitoreddit

All right chat, it’s that time of the month again. What’s your #1 highest conviction stock and why? I actually learn a lot from reading these, so share some cool ideas.

۟@MINHxDYNASTY

over the next 3 months, i will work on coming back into peak trading form we've definitely had our seasons, but i know my current performance is very mediocre here are my set of rules that i will try my hardest to follow. we'll put it in poker format: fold — only play the good

zerohedge@zerohedge

"non-human traffic has now passed human traffic online. And to give you a sense of how this trend is playing out and with the big caveat that I have called it wrong at every point along the way, if the current trends continue, in five years, non-human traffic will be as much as

Coin Bureau@coinbureau

🚨NEW: Starlink is preparing to challenge T-Mobile, Verizon, & AT&T with a rival cellular service expected by late 2027. Starlink Mobile plans to cover the entire planet by the end of 2028, including polar regions, with life saving data services arriving by Q3 2027 and voice

Photon Capital@PhotonCap

intesrested in $VECO? $VECO received an order from a global optical and photonics company for its LUMINA+ MOCVD system to manufacture InP lasers for datacom applications, following what the company described as a series of recent orders and qualifications. $VECO said major

Evan@StockMKTNewz

All these stocks hit new 52 WEEK HIGHS at some point today Berkshire Hathaway $BRK.B CrowdStrike $CRWD Palo Alto $PANW Airbnb $ABNB Snowflake $SNOW Bank of America $BAC Target $TGT HP $HPQ SentinelOne $S Dexcom $DXCM James Hardie $JHX Everpure $P 10X Genomics $TXG Fastenal $FAST

rahmbo@rahmbotrades

$FRMI ANNOUNCES BINDING LEASE AGREEMENT WITH TENSORWAVE First phase to deliver a complete turnkey data center solution with 222 MW beginning in the second half of 2027, representing approximately $6.5 billion in total contracted revenue Will share more thoughts in a bit!

Rony@Ronycoder

A billionaire literally explained how the entire economy works in 42 minutes better than most $200,000 MBA programs ever could.

rahmbo@rahmbotrades

Here are my initial thoughts on the the first official binding lease agreement for $FRMI: 1) First of all, congrats to $FRMI shareholders and Fermi management! Fermi management kept reiterating that they would sign their first binding tenant agreement before August 13th. Most

rahmbo @rahmbotrades

$FRMI ANNOUNCES BINDING LEASE AGREEMENT WITH TENSORWAVE First phase to deliver a complete turnkey data center solution with 222 MW beginning in the second half of 2027, representing approximately $6.5 billion in total contracted revenue Will share more thoughts in a bit!

rahmbo@rahmbotrades

So you're telling me that $FRMI management somehow managed to contract the most attractive pricing in terms of $/MW/year among other comparative compute deals with miners?? And the stock is only up +22%? $FRMI & TensorWave's implied pricing is ~$2.73M/W-year, which puts it at

rahmbo @rahmbotrades

Here are my initial thoughts on the the first official binding lease agreement for $FRMI: 1) First of all, congrats to $FRMI shareholders and Fermi management! Fermi management kept reiterating that they would sign their first binding tenant agreement before August 13th. Most https://t.co/av4Q57drS8

Jay Martin@JayMartinBC

Before a collapse, nothing looks wrong. The numbers are printing records, the money is flowing, and the people warning about it are laughed out of the room. Last time it was housing. Today it's AI. The fire doesn't start when the rally ends. It starts inside the climb. Here's

Shay Boloor@StockSavvyShay

Anthropic signs a $9B compute deal with $RIOT 😳

Serenity@aleabitoreddit

$AEHR receives another $22M follow on order for AI processor wafer level burn in systems. By their lead AI processor company. It’s cool to see this tiny company grow up so fast across so many verticals (memory, silicon photonics, etc). Up +5.39% premarket off the news.

Serenity @aleabitoreddit

$AEHR looks extremely promising at ~$1.1B MC. Aehr is starting to remind me of an early $TER, mixed with pre-earnings $AAOI. If we look at the timeline and speculated customers: Feb 11th: Sonoma production win for Hyperscaler's AI ASIC processors. (likely $GOOGL, $AMZN,

Serenity@aleabitoreddit

$LITE earnings transcript TLDRs: - "Our visibility into the timing of CPO scale-up deployments has also sharpened. We remain confident in a demand ramp for our ultra-high-power laser chips in the second half of calendar 2027" H2 2027 start of CPO scale up ramp confirmed from

Serenity @aleabitoreddit

$LITE earnings are out, very strong earnings: Revenue: $1.01B, +24.5% Q/Q, +109.3% Y/Y growth vs. ~$984.6M Adj. EPS: $3.23 vs. ~$2.95 Gross Margin (non-gaap): 50.4% / Operating margin (non-gaap) 36.6% Q1 FY2027 guidance is probably more important: Revenue: $1.225–1.275B vs.

John Intel@intelfabs

KV cache reaching ~1 ZB by 2030 $SNDK From UBS

Chris Camillo@ChrisCamillo

Be honest. At best you put enough real research to make 1–2 high conviction earnings bets a quarter. But you can’t stop yourself from playing all the big ones. Stop manufacturing conviction in your head. Cut the size of those side bets by 90%. You’ll get most of the same

Moody@MoodyWriter13

I think the market is still underestimating what the announced InP capacity expansions actually imply. After the InP substrate makers unveiled massive expansion plans, $AIXA stock is rising and for good reason. As long as the industry does not build structural substrate

bubble boi @bubbleboi

Interesting facts I learned today Pluggables actually use much more InP than CPO. The reason the InP trade was always associated with CPO is that the laser quality and stability is so high it’s like a double bottleneck where a small % of them can get qualified for use thus it

Jukan@jukan05

According to Taiwanese media reports, Nvidia plans to launch an 800VDC power rack compatible with the MGX architecture in the second half of 2026. The product can be integrated directly into existing AC infrastructure and delivers 800VDC power to compute racks within the same

Paradis Labs@ParadisLabs

$NBIS Q2 Earnings are absolutely UNREAL. - Revenue $582M (+454% YoY) - EPS -$0.12 (+68% YoY) - ARR $3.0B at end of June (+58% QoQ) - Total contract value won during Q2 is up 4x. - Won four customer agreements over $1B in TCV. - Avg. ACV >$20M per MW. - AI cloud revenue up to

P Equity Research 📰@pequityresearch

Intel's Lip-Bu Tan on memory: "CPU and memory, there's a lot of ways we can do stacking together and also try to find some new architecture for memory. I think in some way, in memory, a lot of innovation are not there. I used to not invest in memory because it's kind of

Nick Nemeth (Mispriced Assets)@NickNemo17

$COHR A clean beat across all key metrics, with revenue up +34% YoY and adj. EPS up +74% YoY. The print was driven by accelerating optical transceiver demand tied to AI datacenter buildouts. The stock jumped approximately +6% immediately after the release now sold off. I think

Serenity@aleabitoreddit

My main takeaway was that your merchant CW laser suppliers seem to be EXTREMELY IMPORTANT now. But TLDR of $COHR earnings: "given the demand that we see in our DC business with transceivers, I don’t see any time in the near future where we would be selling indium phosphide

LightLogix @LightLogix

@aleabitoreddit @mikealfred Did you take a look at COHR earnings by chance?

amit@amitisinvesting

$SNDK Sandisk is basically getting the earnings reaction it deserved a week later based on updates at their event. - Guiding for Mid-to-high teens revenue growth - 80% non-GAAP gross margins - 50% adjusted free cash flow margins - Returning 100% of excess cash to

Nicholas Mugalli@RealNickMugalli

If you’re a memory investor, you have to bookmark this and read it. This is Goldman Sachs’s take on $SNDK investor day… We’re still early in this cycle folks!

Nicholas Mugalli @RealNickMugalli

If you’re a memory investor, you have to bookmark this and read it. This is Mizuho’s take on $SNDK investor day… We’re still early in this cycle folks! https://t.co/cpQYCVyDL4

Shay Boloor@StockSavvyShay

$ONDS Q2 EARNINGS • Revenue: $84M vs. Est. $68M • EBITDA: ($51M) vs. Est. ($32M) • Backlog: $613M • Cash: $1.4B FY26 Guidance • Revenue: $538M vs. Est. $525M Pulls forward adjusted EBITDA profitability to Q4 2026 at the platform level and Q4 2027 company-wide. Ondas has

Yunis Rzayev@rzayev7895

$ONDS bugün bilanço getirdi, bakıyorum yine piyasada yanlış bir iyimserlik veya yanlış anlaşılma var. İşin gerçeği şöyle: 1. Büyüme organik değil: Sürekli şirket satın alıyorlar. Büyüme dedikleri şey, bu alınan şirketlerin cirosunun bilançoya eklenmesinden ibaret. Kendi

Son Borsa Manipülatörü @SonBorsaMan

$ONDS Tarafındaki Çeyreksel Büyüme İvmesi Muazzam! 🚀📈 Şirket sadece mevcut çeyrekte rekor kırmakla kalmadı, Q3 2026 ciro hedefini de $140 - $155 Milyon olarak belirleyerek seviye atladı! 🚨 Yıl sonu ciro hedefini $525M - $550M bandına yükselten, $613M resmi backlog'a sahip

Beth Kindig@Beth_Kindig

SK Hynix is investing 54 trillion won, or $38.1 billion, to build two new memory fabs in Korea as demand continues to grow, with first capacity expected in 2029. $SKHY $MU $NVDA

Wu Blockchain@WuBlockchain

Hyperliquid Seeks a Path to Bring Its Perpetual Futures to the U.S. Market According to The Information, Hyperliquid is seeking a path to bring its perpetual futures to the U.S. market. The platform is currently unavailable to U.S. users. Previously, the Hyper Foundation-funded

Wall St Engine@wallstengine

APPLIED MATERIALS $AMAT Q3’26 EARNINGS HIGHLIGHTS 🔹 Revenue: $9.12B (Est. $8.99B) 🟢; +25% YoY 🔹 Adj. EPS: $3.50 (Est. $3.39) 🟢; +41% YoY 🔹 Non-GAAP Oper Income: $3.10B (Est. $3.03B) 🟢 🔹 Non-GAAP FCF: $2.33B (Est. $1.52B) 🟢; +14% YoY Q4 Guide: 🔹 Revenue: $10.25B +/-

Paradis Labs@ParadisLabs

Photonics notes after $LITE, $COHR, and $AAOI earnings: TLDR: Earnings were bullish for photonics. The entire sector is sold out and LTAs are removing cyclicality. 1. Everything is sold out Every single CEO highlighted that demand is strong and growing, with current

Serenity@aleabitoreddit

Donald Trump signs a proclamation to strengthen US supply chains for drones. Benefiting U.S. drone component suppliers like $UMAC to UAS manufacturers like $ONDS + $RCAT. TLDR, 100% tariffs on: - UAS docking stations + certain critical components - certain parts for >25 kg

CK Capital@CKCapitalxx

Trump just signed 100% tariffs on imported drones. This is the largest forced import substitution the drone industry has ever seen, and it takes effect September 3. Five names positioned for it. 1/ $AVAV - the incumbent Largest US small drone maker. Switchblade loitering

OptimusDelta@OptimusDelta

Trump's drone tariffs landed yesterday. 100% on imported drones and parts. Read what triggers the top rate; "Drones with a maximum takeoff weight of more than 25 kilograms and drones with thermal imaging capabilities" Two triggers in the headline - size and thermal. So a

Serenity@aleabitoreddit

Feels like glass substrate timelines got pushed back at least another quarter. - "Samsung Electro-Mechanics Delays Semiconductor Glass Substrate Investment" due to a bottleneck in customer reliability evaluations of prototypes. At its recent second-quarter earnings