Market recap #199

tradfi news@tradfi

*SK HYNIX CEO: MEMORY CHIP SHORTAGE MAY PERSIST PAST 2030 $SKHYV

P Equity Research 📰@pequityresearch

Morgan Stanley: Bearings The Big Picture: Bearings as a Core Robotics Play > Architecture-Agnostic Growth: Bearings offer a diversified way to invest in the robotics sector because they are required regardless of a robot's ultimate design or form factor. > Massive Market

dnap@dnapway

Martin Shkreli reveals what separates great traders from everyone else "Traders are risk managers, fundamentally. Alpha is critical, but you cannot be a trader without excellent risk management." "You have to be able to get out of a losing position, which for so many people is

Zephyr@zephyr_z9

https://t.co/dAoQkZrPBS

Citrini@citrini

Since CPI is either going to be a clearing event or a thanos snap event, I figured it might be a decent time to be helpful. If you’re relatively new to investing, then you’re bound to learn about what happens when your portfolio goes down. Now, this is coming from someone

Heisenberg@Mr_Derivatives

Michael Burry is making $11.7M a month or an annualized $140.5M (before fees) on Substack. Wild. Why run a hedge fund anymore?! He is setting precedence!

Cassandra Unchained @michaeljburry

Today Cassandra Unchained crossed 300,000 subscriber. 231 days from the start. https://t.co/B2rWpTWCzw 346,689 Followers. 300,044 Subscribers. ALL 50 States and 212 Countries. 52% of Subscribers are from Outside the United States. I am so thankful.

Jeff Pu@sssjeffpu

Abstract - Semtech (SMTC) Initiated Buy on 1.6T and NPO • Initiates with Buy, $180 PT (25x FY28E P/E). • Transitioning from an analog chip company to an AI interconnect beneficiary w portfolio spanning ACC, TIA, drivers, lasers and NPO analog solutions. • Guides FY27 AI

Jukan@jukan05

WSJ: DEEPSEEK IS PREPARING FOR AN IPO AS EARLY AS THE SECOND QUARTER OF NEXT YEAR WSJ: DEEPSEEK AIMS TO FILE ITS IPO PAPERWORK BY THE END OF THIS YEAR

RJC@RJCcapital

$AEHR key management comments: power bottlenecks and emerging HBF upside > Nearly 95% of FY26 revenue came from outside EV silicon carbide, versus more than 95% from SiC two years ago. $AEHR is now being driven by AI processors, silicon photonics and power semiconductors tied to

The Earnings Correspondent@earnings_guy

$ASML (ASML) #earnings are out:

Watcher.Guru@WatcherGuru

JUST IN: Stripe and Advent offer to buy PayPal $PYPL for $53 billion, Reuters reports.

J Keynes@JKeynesAlpha

$IMSR ⚛️7.8 GW Pipeline, $868M Market Cap: Why Terrestrial Energy Is the Next Nuclear 10x⚛️ IMSR at $868M, 7.8 GW Pipeline, Two NRC Approvals, 9 Years of Cash Runway, and Trading Down 31% While the Story Accelerates; Complementary Investment to $OKLO for nuclear portfolio.

Noah Schochet@noah_schochet

Today, we’re announcing that we’ve raised $115 million in funding, including a $100M Series A led by @kleinerperkins. America has lost the ability to build, and we’re here to restore it. My co-founder, @NoahMcGuinn, and I left our jobs at @SpaceX , where we worked on programs

Muyao@MuyaoShen

Late (in NYC) but a new story from me: @tradexyz started offering pre-IPO perps tied CXMT, China’s SK Hynix. Not surprised given the demand, but interesting and new product done by crypto - something we haven’t seen in the space for a bit

Wall St Engine@wallstengine

Trump: One of the biggest Driving Forces in the Future for Jobs, are Data Centers. They are big, strong, bold, and Money Machines for the State in which they are built. Governor Kathy Hochul, for political reasons, has terminated all Data Centers being built, or to be built, in

Wall St Engine@wallstengine

Nikkei Asia reports Penguin Solutions $PENG will launch its MemoryAI KV cache servers in Japan in Q4, giving local AI players a lower-cost alternative to adding more Nvidia GPU servers. Memory cost per GB can be reduced to between one-seventh and one-third of the cost of adding

Warren Pies@WarrenPies

Semis now down ~13% from the recent highs. The group first registered in our "blow-off" screen 32 months ago and has gone through two >20% drawdowns since. For perspective, the 90s bull lasted 63 months after registering a blow-off and suffered about one 20% dd per year.

Ricardo@Ric_RTP

Warren Buffett just warned that some of the biggest names in AI might collapse soon. And he said it while revealing he had personally put $31 billion into one of them... Google, Microsoft, and Amazon are now laying out hundreds of billions in capex to stay in the AI race.

Blockaid@blockaid_

🚨 Blockaid detected an @Ostium Vault exploit on Arbitrum. An attacker used a registered PriceUpKeep forwarder and future-dated authorized oracle reports to create artificial trade profit, triggering a ~$18M USDC payout from the vault. More details in 🧵

Wall St Engine@wallstengine

SHARKNINJA NINJA $SN JUST BUILT A MICROWAVE THAT AIR FRIES YOUR FOOD AFTER HEATING IT The new Ninja Crispi Microwave heats food with microwave energy, then automatically finishes it with 450°F cyclonic air to crisp the outside. It can: → Take food from frozen to crispy in 10

Ansem 🐂🀄️@blknoiz06

https://t.co/tjTzWHjYYi

Citrini@citrini

Continuing with the idea of it’s probably better to try to educate newbies during drawdowns rather than dunk on them, let’s talk about how expectations change as stocks rally significantly. Basically, in the beginning of a rally you have the highest likelihood of the most

Citrini @citrini

Since CPI is either going to be a clearing event or a thanos snap event, I figured it might be a decent time to be helpful. If you’re relatively new to investing, then you’re bound to learn about what happens when your portfolio goes down. Now, this is coming from someone

Citrini@citrini

This is how I think about hype cycles in markets. It is basic, but that’s the point (frameworks shouldn’t be overly complex, I think). Investors are always either discounting the promise of the future or the reality of the present. And they are never equally weighting them.

Teng Yan@tengyanAI

Memory stocks took a heavy hit this wk but DDR5 server RDIMM spot just moved +27.9% in 30 days to $1,375. that's the memory market pricing in AI server demand before the supply side can respond.

Gavin Baker@GavinSBaker

Kimi K3 may be an important inflection point for AI. Potentially negative for Anthropic and OpenAI while being net positive for essentially every other company in the world. I mean that very literally. Although the real “Sputnik moment” would be an open-source frontier model that

SemiAnalysis@SemiAnalysis_

Similar to the panic over DeepSeek R1, some uneducated people think Kimi K3’s use of linear attention (KDA) is bad for NVIDIA, HBM, DRAM, and networking because it has relatively lower KV-cache requirements. The opposite is true, and we explain why below. 👇️ 1/8🧵

The DeFi Investor 🔎@TheDeFinvestor

The latest DeFi developments👇 @aave V4 went live on Avalanche with a new incentive program @pendle_fi launched automated PT looping @OndoFinance released 24/7 trading for tokenized stocks on Solana @Lighter_xyz burned $36M worth of LIT tokens @CurveFinance released

Jukan@jukan05

However, all of these assumptions begin with the same premise: that a flood of new supply will arrive in 2028 and cause memory prices to collapse. The analysis I read made the following argument. Since the 1980s, memory prices have never fallen because demand declined. Demand