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Differential Factor

Strategic Research & Advisory for the AI-Native Economy

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The Thirty-Year Compromise is Over

Enterprise software was built on an economic constraint: software was expensive to build and cheap to copy. The constraint is gone and the economics have inverted.

I Don't Care Who Wrote This

And eventually, neither will you

You Have One Job

What predicting the World Cup says about enterprise AI, compute costs, and right-sizing.

Competition for Capital: A First-Principles View of Tech Markets

Stop asking which software category to buy. Start mapping how your business actually allocates capital.

Moove over Banks, Disruption is Coming

What Ten Tokenized Cows Tell Us About the Future of Money

The World Cup Model likes Spain

The final numbers are in for Spain vs Argentina, along with an honest look at where a transparent probability engine works—and where it breaks down

The SaaS Disruption is Getting Real

In at least some segments of the market, vibe coding IS replacing SaaS

Confidently Wrong

Two near misses, and a few lessons learned

The Three-Legged Stool is Down to One

The value of your business is ultimately the value you create for customers.

The World Cup Model enters the Knockout Stage

What the Group Stage Taught Us

Fix the Data First

Join me and Alex Kangoun of Athena Solutions for a webinar Thursday June 25 at 12 PM EST

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