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If all you read was the ironically named Truth social, one would be under the impression delusion that America was on the cusp of total victory, as we had been since the first hours of the Zio-American War on Iran.
Indeed, the not a war is going so “well” now that Washington is pulling back its last forces from northern Iraq to Israel and Saudi Arabia after the latest round of Iranian attacks. US officials will naturally insist that the decision predates the latest Iranian attacks and was planned months in advance. But that can not be separated from the fact that American forces are fleeing their bases across the Gulf whilst Iran and its Houthi allies demonstrate, with increasing regularity, that any US position can be struck. As we noted in April, truth is downstream of logistics. Trump can continue bloviating on social media about “finishing the job,” but equipment is moving away from Iran rather than toward it.
The notorious Israeli finance minister Bezalel Smotrich dispensed with the diplomatic theater. Israel, he explained, has “no interest” in joining the present American strikes: a “limited war” between Iran and the United States is the arrangement which presently serves Israel best. There it is. Israel helps initiate the war, spends years demanding that Washington confront Iran, and now prefers that the confrontation remain an American responsibility. The United States supplies the aircraft, exposes its bases, and buries its soldiers whilst Israel preserves the freedom to enter or leave the conflict at its choosing. From the standpoint of Israeli policy, this is perfectly intelligible. The scandal lies in Washington continuing to pretend that the arrangement serves American interests whatsoever. Given the recent passage of the NDAA and the near certainty that the American & Israeli militaries will become permanently fused, we can be sure what such an arrangement will portend in future conflicts.
Every Iranian attack forces Washington to expend its quickly dwindling missile interceptors, reposition assets, and protect dozens of facilities spread across several countries, all while continuing a bombing campaign which has brought Tehran no closer to surrender. The network constructed to place pressure upon Iran has become the principal means by which Iran places pressure upon the United States. This outcome required no strategic genius from Tehran. Indeed, any serious planning staff should have foreseen that a war with Iran would turn the Gulf base system into a ready target list. That such a strategy could be employed for decades, only to collapse in the first months of an even limited engagement, speaks volumes about the competence of the so-called strategic planners at the Pentagram. Malice or incompetence? Once again, the two are not mutually exclusive.
Erbil is one part of a much larger strategic contraction, and arguably, strategic disaster. The US maintains roughly eighty military installations across the Middle East, and twenty years spent fighting foes without air forces, navies, satellites or meaningful long-range strike capabilities has produced a lackadaisical military culture. Bases grew into small cities replete with McDonald’s and KFC’s. Such luxuries became the norm as combat became an increasingly distant affair, the people being bombed with little ability to answer back.
Iran has spent the last five months reminding America what fighting a real military is like again.
Without further ado, let’s dive into the stories shaping the week that was…
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