DDHQ friend Chris Cillizza, who runs So What on Substack, was nice enough to have two members of the DDHQ team on a Substack Live conversation about our 2026 election forecast. Chris was joined by Chief Elections Analyst Geoffrey Skelley and Data Science Fellow Maddisen Murrell to talk about the big picture and some specific U.S. Senate and U.S. House races. We’ll be doing this regularly every couple of weeks from now and until the election, so be on the lookout for more updates!
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CHAPTERS
1:00 How does the forecast work
8:05 The overall Senate picture
11:50 Probability and range of outcomes in the Senate forecast
17:07 Six key races in Maine, Ohio, Texas, Iowa, Alaska, and Michigan
22:00 The overall House picture
25:34 Polling averages and credible polls
28:06 Use of prediction markets
30:05 Audience questions
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