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David Reavill

Our mission is to provide you with a unique insight into the trends and events that move our financial markets. We’re sometimes controversial, sometimes not. But there are no products to be sold here, nor commissions to be made. Our only hope is that we may provide you with a new perspective on our Global Financial World.

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Why There Is No Silver Bullet - and Economic Conditions May Worsen

This morning I had quite a shock when I opened my trash bill. Now, for nearly 20 years I've hauled my trash bin down to the curb, where the trash truck picks it up. And for all those 20 years, the bill has remained pretty close to the same. Oh, there've been some slight increases here and there, but nothing like I saw today.

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When A Presidetn makes Up His Own Rules

It's been 10 months since "Liberation Day." The Day that President Donald Trump issued tariffs on the world. Today, Friday, February 20, 2026, the United States Supreme Court issued its ruling striking down Trump's use of the "International Emergency Economic Powers Act (IEEPA) as an authority reserved for Congress.

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A Darkness Descends Upon Washington

The year began with two ongoing conflicts that could only continue with American support. When sworn in on January 20, 2025, there was some question whether the newly reelected Donald Trump would continue supporting the conflicts in Gaza and Ukraine. He had campaigned on a pledge to end the war in Ukraine in a day and curtail all overseas war, which presumably included the conflict in Gaza. For…

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Venezuela And The Importance Of International Law

We live in a world founded upon the twin pillars of international law and international cooperation. The United States, above all others, has benefited from the free flow of goods and services, which have brought us one of the highest standards of living in the world.

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Venezuela: Where Was The UN Security Council Meeting? The US Senate Debate?

The ramifications of today's actions in invading Venezuela will, without doubt, be profound, for in it a US President has placed the United States above international law, global norms, and US customs. By these actions, President Trump has set our Country on a rogue path, one that puts military aggression above peaceful deliberation.

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How Many Of Those Foreign Investments Are Due To Trump's Tariffs?

President Donald Trump is the most loquacious Chief Executive the country has ever seen. During his third campaign for President, he would speak before tens of thousands, often for hours, while enthralling everyone. His crowds loved it and came away feeling they understood precisely what Trump's vision for America was. However, as he has transitioned to his second term, there is a definite lack of…

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There's An Issue When President Trump Speaks To Us About Tariffs

Tariffs are the most consequential economic policy of this Trump Presidency. Yet we have a President who is demonstrably wrong in his recitation of the Tariff's income and benefits. Will someone in this Administration set the record straight?

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JPMorgan Chase Revives An Old-Time Investment Risk

It was a simple executive-change notice, the kind that dots the financial press nearly every day. Todd Combs, one of Warren Buffett's senior managers, would be leaving Berkshire Hathaway to form a new unit at JPMorgan Chase. But this was far from an ordinary management change. For the first time in nearly a century, the fabled House of Morgan would invest its own capital in the stock market.

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What President Trump Risks In Venezuela

The Pentagon likely instructed the President to curtail all additional Russian-supplied arms to Venezuela, because there is one weapon that is of utmost concern for the US Military. That weapon is the growing number of hypersonic missiles Russia has developed. Among those, Hypersonic is the sea-based Zircon, as well as the seven-year-old, battle-tested Kinzhal.

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President Trump's Fundamental Flaw As A Global Salesman

The effort, by President Trump, to make America come out on top in every transaction may seem entirely laudable. But there comes a point when the other side of those transactions begins to doubt whether there's any benefit for them. As any good salesman knows, buyers will walk away from any "deal" that offers little or nothing. Advertise to the world, as the President is doing, that we're going to…

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