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Data and Politics

Data and Politics | AI, Tech, Finance, and Political Analysis with Kindness and Snark

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Evacuate Yourselves

On the night of 5–6 July 2026, Russia launched one of the largest attacks on Kyiv since the war began. I spent it in a hotel basement in Podil, following drone trajectories on one browser tab and a World Cup score on the other

The Blurring

What I live with isn't forgetting, it's the blurring. A meditation on grief, memory, and continuing without answers three years after loss.

The Selection Effect: Exporting Burnout as Best Practice

The tech industry has a selection problem: extreme work culture gets amplified globally while sustainable practices stay quiet. For those learning about Silicon Valley from a distance, this creates a dangerously distorted picture of what actually drives success.

The Loneliest Conversation

Widowhood creates a cruel paradox: needing connection more while finding it harder to achieve. From Christmas parties to casual conversations, I navigate a world where my reality makes others uncomfortable, editing my life to protect their comfort while isolating myself further.

Why I Find It Hard to Write About Being a Widow

Why is it so hard to write about being a widow? My story has no redemptive arc. No community rallied, no family came together, no strength was discovered. Just sudden loss and ongoing adaptation without resolution. These are the widowhood stories we don't want to hear but need to tell.

Widowhood as a Memory Buffer Problem

Widowhood isn't just about missing someone—it's about losing your own biography. So much of my life only existed in shared memory. The cruel paradox: learning to live alone requires forgetting how we lived together, erasing the very past I'm fighting to remember.

Walking San Francisco 1: Kite Hill to Ord Street

San Francisco isn't built for straight lines. The hills interrupt them, as do the dead-ends, back alleys, and staircases that thread between properties. This walk reveals the city's hidden pathways, earthquake shacks, and the geology, zoning, and transit history beneath the views.

The Fog Economy: What If This Is Stagflation?

When stagflation last arrived, we saw gas lines and garbage piles. Today brings empty shelves and ships that never dock. As indicators contradict and familiar policies fail, history isn't repeating—it's mutating. We're entering a new economic fog, not by accident but by deliberate policy choice.

The High Cost of Saying No: Why I Can't Stop Talking About Housing

Atlanta isn't just building structures. It is filling them with life. Meanwhile, in San Francisco, we keep fighting over everything except how to make room for each other. Cities, like lives, are made of choices. Say no long enough, and you run out of chances to say yes.

Empty Ships, Empty Promises: Trump's Tariffs Are About to Decimate American Shipping

Trump's 145% tariffs triggered a flood of imports—but not a rise in American exports. West Coast ports are now sending ships back empty. This imbalance isn't just economic—it's personal. Jobs, wages, and trade flows are all at risk. The ships are still moving. But fewer are coming back.

Trump is a Critical Vulnerability

The Trump administration nearly killed CVE, the system that names and tracks software vulnerabilities worldwide. When trust-based digital infrastructure becomes a political bargaining chip, our entire security framework is at risk.

Nvidia, Export Controls, and The Trump Team's Art of Trading on Insider Knowledge

A perfectly timed Nvidia put trade preceded Trump’s export controls by hours—and paid off by over 600%. In a month already shadowed by suspicious options activity, this one raises new questions.

The Bond Market at the 5% Threshold

The 30-year Treasury yield approached 5% on April 11, 2025. Since 2008, long-term rates have stayed below this line. Crossing it doesn't guarantee collapse, but takes us off the map. We don't know what breaks when borrowing costs stay high or which assumptions stop working.

Placed Before the Memo: Suspicious AAPL Options Bet on a Policy Shift That Hadn’t Happened Yet

On April 11, 2025, traders placed large, targeted call option bets on Apple. That evening, the Trump administration quietly exempted smartphones from tariffs, news not publicized until April 12. These trades weren't speculation - they were placed before the memo was released.

3,500% Returns In 3 Hours: The Extreme Case of April 9, 2025

At 12:58 pm EST on April 9, 2025, someone placed perfectly-timed SPY options bets just 32 minutes before Trump's surprise tariff announcement. These $0.85 contracts soared to $31 each by closing bell. A $100,000 bet became $3.6 million in hours. The odds? A 1-in-4,484 chance of even minimal profit.