The Commodities market moves in long, multi-year cycles.
Every sustained rally has been preceded by long periods of weak performance, where commodity prices remain depressed, capital exits the space, and investment in new supply dries up.
Today, we appear to be at the early stages of another structural Commodity upswing, coming out of a decade of underinvestment following the 2011 peak.
Years of low prices led to reduced capex, depleted inventories, and tightening supply across Commodities.
What the market is still under-appreciating is that these cycles have historically persisted for a minimum of 10 years or more.
Even though Gold had been in a correction since the past 6 odd months, it’s important to put Gold’s price into perspective.
US Gold reserves as a % of government debt stands at only about 3%.
This chart is essentially screaming to us that Gold is so undervalued relative to all the US government debt there currently is present.
Investors seem to be finally starting to wake up to this fact after the US government’s debt just crossed $40 trillion recently, once again acting as a wake up call that every investor needs exposure to hard assets in this Macro environment.
Gold Miners also just saw a major breadth thrust.
The percentage of gold miners above their 200-day moving average reached washout levels in July before recently spiking to over 60%.
This is the typical threshold used for healthy markets and Gold miners have just met the criteria for one!
Silver has just reclaimed its daily 200-EMA and has also broken above its multi-month downtrend line.
Both of these developments are suggesting that the downtrend is coming to a wrap-up here for this precious metal too.
Not to mention Copper that seems to have never gotten the memo for a correction.
This industrial metal has basically been gradually and consistently rising throughout the last few months, despite a correction in the broader Commodities market.
There’s also Uranium that’s starting to show promising signs of life once again.
The key level to break is $28.33 and above that Uranium should get going pretty quickly to the mid-$30s.
So we have the Commodities complex across the board starting to show signs of preparing for another leg up in the coming months.
But most investors have no idea how to position for this Commodity cycle.
For the past decade, Commodities have not been a “hot” area of the market.
There’s been very little incentive to study how this space works, how capital rotates within it, or where the real opportunities tend to emerge.
As a result, when a cycle like this begins, most investors are completely unprepared.
That’s exactly why we created: “The Commodity Cycle Masterplan”.
This Masterplan is designed to give you both the big picture understanding and the specific tools needed to help you profitably navigate this cycle.
It breaks down the entire Commodity landscape into a step-by-step frameworkthrough 5 detailed documents:
A clear blueprint of how Commodity cycles unfold, and in what sequence capital rotates across different Commodities
A 3-year proprietary Cycle Forecasts across key commodities to help you gain a Timing Edge
A complete Commodity ETFs guide, covering 33 Commodity ETFs in-depthacross the entire Commodity spectrum, along with the key technical levels and our proprietary Cycle Forecasts for each one
A curated list of 33 high-quality Commodity stocks (for different Commodities), with detailed breakdowns of drivers, risks, and technical levels
A comprehensive “Masterlist” of 200+ names, giving you a full pipeline of ideas for investing and trading across precious metals, industrial metals, energy, agriculture, and more.
Basically, we’ve built a practical system designed to help you identify, track, and act on opportunities for this Commodity cycle.
If you’re interested, you can purchase The Commodity Cycle Masterplan for $500 here OR upgrade your Substack plan to our $800 Founding Member tier to receive it as part of the membership.
BONUS: For the next 10 purchases, we’ll also throw in our yearly Cycles Edge membership worth $350 to further sweeten the deal for you. After your purchase, you’ll also have email access to our team for any follow-up questions you have after going through The Commodity Cycle Masterplan.
Disclaimer - All materials, information, and ideas from Cycles Edge are for educational purposes only and should not be considered Financial Advice. This blog may document actions done by the owners/writers of this blog, thus it should be assumed that positions are likely taken. If this is an issue, please discontinue reading. Cycles Edge takes no responsibility for possible losses, as markets can be volatile and unpredictable, leading to constantly changing opinions or forecasts.
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