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CryptoFolks Newsletter · Sep 21, 2025

This Is It!

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CryptoFolks · CryptoFolks Newsletter

Welcome to the weekly CryptoFolks Newsletter. However, our launch procedures 🛫 require us to inform you not to consider this article as investment advice, as it represents solely our personal opinion. Always remember to manage your portfolios independently.💁‍♂️

This is the moment you’ve been waiting for. The last 3 years of a bear market and early stages all lead to today, this exact moment. Why? You may ask. Let me show you something.

RTY - 19.09.25

On Thursday, Russell 2000 index closed at the highest level in its entire history 📈.
You might say: “Bro, why are you showing me some random stocks?”

Here’s why:

The correlation between the Russell 2000 small-cap index and TOTAL2 is undeniable—see for yourself.

RTY with TOTAL2

Impressive, right? 😏

In history, there was never a moment when TOTAL2 moved independently without RTY. Every breakout, every bottom… and guess what? TOTAL2 always sets its tops on the exact same days as RTY. Just take a look.

Well, guess what…

We’re now in exactly the same moment – RTY and TOTAL2 are entering price discovery territory, reaching levels never seen before 🚀.

This is the point where altcoins take the lead in the crypto world, the moment all the influencers have been waiting for to start posting moons 🌙, Mars 🪐, and rocket emojis 🚀. This is the environment where altcoins enter the banana zone and literally everything that moves goes up.

But here’s the catch: a moment like this doesn’t last long. Usually less than two months, often just a single month ⏳.

If I told you this was the end of the bull market, you might ask: “But what bull market? There hasn’t been one.”

Most people don’t realize how expensive Bitcoin is right now – over $100k.

Reminder: based on cycle math, the ATH this cycle should’ve been around $76k if it mirrored the past. Now you see the point. ETFs have entered the game, massively increasing volatility and inflating the speculative bubble.

Even adjusting for inflation, that $76k translates to about $97k. ❗

Maybe you don’t feel euphoria yet, but at these price levels we are truly in a bull market, just in its final stage. And you’re not the only one not feeling it.

Out of curiosity, I asked Grok, here’s what it said:

“I rate it 6/10. There’s a growing wave of optimism and FOMO (e.g., after ATH and Fed news), but without mania – users are in a ‘waiting room before FOMO,’ with warnings of overheating. Scale 10 is peak mania; we’re in the build-up with potential for higher scores in Q4.”

Now, if the TOTAL2 correlation with RTY continues, we will see the same gains we saw with Bitcoin, but this time in altcoins, which are still lagging behind.

BTC with TOTAL2

So here we are: an environment where altcoins can rise, while Bitcoin still hasn’t decided if this is the end. This is about the famous 0.702 level from the previous bull run, where it all ended.

BTC with TOTAL2 - 2021
BTC with TOTAL2 - 2025

It’s not by accident we published this note:

And it’s not by accident that this article is being written. The entire game is played on one chessboard, capital is interconnected. The time you’ve been waiting for is now. Euphoria can appear overnight, and when it does, the most important thing is to keep a cool head and understand what’s happening inside your mind 🧠. That’s why we’ve already published a second article on emotions:

How Your Emotions Take Control - Case Study

·

September 16, 2025

Hi,🙋 Welcome to the weekly CryptoFolks Newsletter. However, our launch procedures 🛫 require us to inform you not to consider this article as investment advice, as it represents solely our personal opinion. Always remember to manage your portfolios

Altcoin season may pass almost unnoticed.

Altcoin season index

If I were to pull out my crystal ball 🔮, it says that the crowd will buy the top and get wrecked, and by then it will be too late. Personally, I follow the theory that it’s better to make less than risk losing everything.

I’ll leave you with this information. Feel free to send us a message or leave a comment – I’d love to start a discussion about this. 💬

Read the original on cryptofolks.substack.com

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