🚀 Introducing The Board — your weekly edge in prediction markets
📢 Welcome to the first edition. Each week we break down the markets moving the most, the events driving them, and where the smart money is flowing — across sports, crypto, politics, and macro.
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La Liga went vertical: volume jumped ~86x week-over-week (about +8,600%) as the 2026–27 season kicked off August 15, the fastest-growing major market on the board.
ATP drew the most new money: the Cincinnati Open run added around $232M in volume, the biggest absolute increase, with the US Open next up.
NFL preseason is moving lines: the Jets–Steelers market swung ~37 points in seven days on quarterback uncertainty — the sharpest shift of the week.
See Trending → | Trade La Liga→ | Trade ATP→ | Trade MLB→
Reporting period: Aug 13–19, 2026.
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Pro Baseball Champion 2026 | Pro Football Champion 2026-2027 | CFB National Champion 2026-27 | New York J @ Pittsburgh | Las Vegas @ Houston
🏈 NFL (Preseason) — Jets vs Steelers
Geno Smith’s ankle status is uncertain, and Pittsburgh is expected to start Will Howard. Impact: If Smith sits, the Jets’ first-team passing game is harder to price.
🏈 NFL (preseason) — Packers vs Broncos
Bo Nix is reportedly in line for preseason snaps, though his workload may be capped. Impact: Watch Denver’s first-team reps and Nix’s snap count as the market’s key drivers.
🏈 NFL (preseason) — Panthers vs Jaguars
Trevor Lawrence is expected to play a few series, while Carolina’s QB plan is less defined. Impact: On projected starter usage, Jacksonville has the clearer first-half setup.
🏈 NFL (preseason) — Seahawks vs Titans
Tennessee reportedly plans ~25–30 snaps for starters, while Seattle’s QB rotation is unclear. Impact: Heavier projected starter usage gives Tennessee the clearer first-half edge.
⚾ MLB — Braves vs Brewers
Two playoff-contending teams meet in the nationally televised Little League Classic, with pitching plans still subject to confirmation. Impact: Milwaukee’s projected starter and home billing give it a modest edge, but bullpen usage could swing it.
⚽ EPL — Arsenal vs Coventry
Saka is expected to start, with Saliba and Timber out. Coventry are newly promoted as reigning Championship champions and make an early trip to the Emirates. Impact: Arsenal enter clear favorites, but a settling-in back line means Coventry’s chance of scoring may be slightly higher than the headline price implies.
⚽ EPL — Manchester City vs AFC Bournemouth
City opens the post-Guardiola era under new manager Enzo Maresca, with a new system still bedding in. Impact: More uncertainty than a typical City road game — early-season pricing may overrate City until Maresca’s setup is proven, giving Bournemouth value as a live outsider.
Politics — Texas Senate Election 2026
Paxton and Talarico are nearly tied, with both Republicans and Democrats around 50% on OG. Impact: New polling or major campaign news could quickly shift this market.
Economics — September Fed Decision
The probability of a hold rose from 75% to 76% during the week, while a hike remains a smaller risk. Impact: A dovish hold could support stocks and crypto; a hawkish message could pressure risk assets.
Crypto — Bitcoin Returns Above $100K
The market implies only ~10% odds BTC trades above $100K before October. Impact: A strong rally or large ETF inflows would be the obvious catalysts to watch.
Culture — Oscars Best Picture 2027
The Odyssey leads at about 61%, far ahead of Dune: Part Three at 13%. Impact: Fall-festival reviews and precursor awards are the usual movers ahead of nominations.
Culture — Top Artist on Spotify 2026
Bad Bunny leads at ~90%, highlighting the growing commercial influence of Latin music and streaming-driven culture. Impact: Spotify chart momentum and year-end Wrapped announcements could sharply shift prices, while Spotify’s official global ranking determines the outcome. Drake’s reported 2026 release momentum is the main risk to Bad Bunny’s lead.
Research and Insights Team
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