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Capital Wars · Jul 20, 2026

Bitcoin, China And Gold

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The People’s Bank (PBoC) Appears To Be Changing Course

The relationship between a basket of cryptocurrencies (BES$ – Bitcoin; Ethereum and Solana) and Global Liquidity (GLI$) remains strong and robust. The data suggest an apparent lead time of around three months, with the recent correlation close to 0.57.

  • Chinese PBoC liquidity appears to have shifted from a mid-March to mid-June lull toward renewed injections

  • Gold prices remain closely linked to People’s Bank of China liquidity, even if the relationship is not perfectly synchronous

  • Bitcoin may be stabilising relative to gold, but stronger US Fed Liquidity would be needed to build confidence in sustained outperformance

  • US monetary conditions still argue for caution, with bond-market pressures pointing toward tighter policy

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