The baseline model for New York State in the previous letter assumed a doubling time of 4 days. It estimated an increase of 5,218 hospitalizations and 1,211 ICU patients between March 25th and today. The actual numbers are as follows:
Source data: March 25, March 26, March 27, March 28, March 29.
The good news is the spread appears to be slowing down. The…
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