Premier League Simulation - 2026/27 Season

Updated 2026-08-24:

This page features Premier League projections from my model. I will try and keep this updated at least once a week after the model runs.

Our first match week is in the books now and we are moving into the weekly updates section.

There were some surprising results but one match doesn’t cause major swings in the numbers.

Here is how the odds and team ratings have changed since the start of the season.

I have always looked at the spread betting as interesting view for what the people who have money on the line think about the teams compared to my models and I will do more tracking of that this season. Here is how that looks for the preseason.

This next graphic will become more interesting over the next couple of weeks, but we have a match played so we can look at performance vs schedule difficulty.

Here is a new look and graphic that I will keep updated based on what I built for the run in. This will look at the upcoming matches and the overall difficulty for each team.

I will keep updating and adding on to this as the season progresses.