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But This Time It's Different

But This Time It’s Different is a publication on markets, technology, geopolitics, and institutions, with a focus on how complex systems are structured and where standard explanations break down.

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The Second Star to the Right

On Ireland's homing condition, and the children who will not forgive us

Scribblings

Light touched my hands in a dream of golden skans

Am I A Spy? And Other Conspiracies

Why we look for conspiracies that aren't there, while we miss the ones that are.

Eight Ways a Railway Dies

How Ireland's railway upgrade will likely die a long, slow death.

Ireland's Delivery Inability

Why Ireland fails to deliver its reforms, and pretty much everything else.

On Irish Sovereignty

A discussion of the Irish Triple Lock, power, and the freedom to choose

Neutrality, and the Things We Tell Ourselves

On Ireland's definition of defense neutrality, and what that means about the story we tell about ourselves

Kaleidoscopes

How the Irish state defends itself against being fixed.

Why SpaceX Didn't Create a Space Economy

Even if it is a seriously amazing technology company

I is for Immigration

How Ireland's lack of immigration strategy has produced cruelty in every direction

Ireland's Failure Premium

How public money becomes private wealth when the state builds nothing

Culture is Infrastructure

Why the Intelligence Age Has No Institutional Answer to Creative Economies

Mind the Gap

Ireland is the second richest country in Europe, and this week a single protest shut it down. Here's why.

Further from Earth

On Artemis II and the meaninglessness of the space industry

Elon Musk: First Principles, Last Resort

Why the "first-principles" management style rarely works outside of building rockets

Trickle-Down Gastronomy: Japan

How Japan solved the problem that Western dining is only now discovering

Foundations

A short introduction to the research that informs my writing here

You Didn't Vote For This

How Irish households subsidize German households during inflationary times

Spending More Is Making Europe Less Safe

How NATO's rearmament surge is funding the wrong industrial base

Ireland's Defense Problem Isn't Neutrality

Ireland has the money but not the architecture to defend itself