Market coverage for bitcoin foreign exchange market since 2011
“The market is growing up. And the math proves it.” Introduction Most Bitcoin models rest on a simple observation: price, on a logarithmic scale, grows roughly linearly over time. That’s the famous Power Law. And it works, as a starting point. But there’s a problem. A model that only draws a line (or a curve) on a chart tells you where the price should be on average but it tells you nothing about…
If the Two-Phase Power Law model defines the floor (Fair Value), a complementary equation defines the ceiling: the Peak Envelope. To understand where price may go in this cycle, we must analyze two opposing dynamics that evolve over time: 1. The Mathematics of the Rise (Slope Decay) One of the main flaws of fixed 4-year Continue reading Quantify the Euphoria: Top Model and the forecast to $250k
Long Temr Update Bitcoin using entropic methods. 2019.
Long Temr Update Bitcoin using entropic methods. 2019.
Long Temr Update Bitcoin using entropic methods. 2019.
For all my Italian followers, I am pleased to announce that my analysis are now available in Italian on bit-reminder.com. This Italian website, which I collaborate with, is a valuable resource for those interested in the cryptocurrency world, with lots of information and a technical analysis section authored by me. In addition to covering Bitcoin, Continue reading Long Term Update: The Big Picture…
In the chart above, there is a new buy signal from a modified RSI oscillator after an apparent four-year interval, with a smoother output compared to the original. My yearly prediction, which I typically release in January, appears to be consistent with the Kama average levels. The estimated target range for this upward movement is Continue reading Long Term Update: The Big Picture
LONG TERM1 unit bought at 22451$ SHORT TERMNo position open As someone who is interested in long-term investments, I recently made the decision to buy bitcoin at a price of 22451$. I will explain the reasons that led me to make this decision. The first reason is based on technical analysis. An oscillator indicator, which Continue reading Portfolio Update: Long 1 unit at 22451$
Long Temr Update Bitcoin using entropic methods. 2019.
In the last update in May 2022, I hypothesized that Bitcoin would not remain above the annual forecast support, set at 29,800 dollars. At the time, I also hypothesized a possible test down to the first support of my monthly Kama average, at around 22,000 dollars, a test that then materialized. The problem is that Continue reading Quick Update and general considerations