# Latin America Risk Report Daily analysis of politics and security in Latin America. Page: Feed: --- ## [Brazil - Lula is the favorite, but here are seven ways he could lose - August 2026](https://boz.substack.com/p/brazil-lula-is-the-favorite-but-here) _2026-08-20 · James Bosworth (Boz)_ The economy, scandals, or a sudden surge by a third candidate lead the list. ## [Other forms of US leverage - August 2026](https://boz.substack.com/p/other-forms-of-us-leverage-august) _2026-08-19 · James Bosworth (Boz)_ The Trump administration’s tools in the hemisphere go well beyond sanctions and military ops. Visa restrictions have become a preferred option. ## [Two maps on the hemispheric war on cartels](https://boz.substack.com/p/two-maps-on-the-hemispheric-war-on) _2026-08-18 · James Bosworth (Boz)_ Trying to keep track ## [Peru - Fujimori goes populist and gets a political honeymoon](https://boz.substack.com/p/peru-fujimori-goes-populist-and-gets) _2026-08-17 · James Bosworth (Boz)_ The economy, security, and scandals may all work against her in the coming months, but she has gotten the start to her term that she wanted and needed. ## [Friday Reading List - 14 August 2026](https://boz.substack.com/p/friday-reading-list-14-august-2026) _2026-08-14 · James Bosworth (Boz)_ Despite just spending two weeks in Mexico eating amazing things, I had a burrito at a chain restaurant in the DC area for lunch yesterday. Judge that however you will. ## [Perception vs statistics on homicides](https://boz.substack.com/p/perception-vs-statistics-on-homicides) _2026-08-13 · James Bosworth (Boz)_ I made a chart ## [Comments on US policy in Cuba and Venezuela - August 2026](https://boz.substack.com/p/comments-on-us-policy-in-cuba-and) _2026-08-12 · James Bosworth (Boz)_ Not very organized today ## [The political impacts of Colombia’s earthquake - August 2026](https://boz.substack.com/p/the-political-impacts-of-colombias) _2026-08-11 · James Bosworth (Boz)_ Trying to go beyond, "it depends on how the new president manages it." ## [Travelogue - Seven more thoughts on Mexico City](https://boz.substack.com/p/travelogue-seven-more-thoughts-on) _2026-08-10 · James Bosworth (Boz)_ I stayed in "the bubble," took a lot of Uber rides and wandered around a few neighborhoods and markets. ## [Friday Reading List - 7 August 2026](https://boz.substack.com/p/friday-reading-list-7-august-2026) _2026-08-07 · James Bosworth (Boz)_ After eating tacos for over a week without a problem, I got food poisoning at a fancy Uruguayan restaurant in Mexico City. It always happens where you least suspect.... ## [Daily plans, scheduled by AI (Sponsored)](https://crawlproof.com/a/ufHZcMO6kD6j) _2026-08-07 · **Sponsored**_ AI-made daily plans that schedule tasks and protect focus time. ## [Argentina - Economic Notes - August 2026](https://boz.substack.com/p/argentina-economic-notes-august-2026) _2026-08-06 · James Bosworth (Boz)_ Milei's defenders don't want to hear this, but for many of Argentina's citizens, the economy felt better under CFK. ## [The Orange Drift - August 2026 update](https://boz.substack.com/p/the-orange-drift-august-2026-update) _2026-08-05 · James Bosworth (Boz)_ Depending on Brazil's election, this map may be the high-water mark of the trend. ## [Colombia - Petro's final week and the insurrection threat](https://boz.substack.com/p/colombia-petros-final-week-and-the) _2026-08-04 · James Bosworth (Boz)_ Colombia's president tries to delegitimize his successor and plans for protests. The big concern is that ADLE may welcome the fight. ## [Mexico - Another travelogue - August 2026](https://boz.substack.com/p/mexico-another-travelogue-august) _2026-08-03 · James Bosworth (Boz)_ Seaweed, pirates, and comments on Mexico's security and tourism economy. ## [Friday Reading List - 31 July 2026](https://boz.substack.com/p/friday-reading-list-31-july-2026) _2026-07-31 · James Bosworth (Boz)_ AI is getting good at building a reading list. But not the reading list. I still needed to add dozens of links and delete a bunch of others. So much for the robots taking my job. ## [Where is the new right-wing ALBA?](https://boz.substack.com/p/where-is-the-new-right-wing-alba) _2026-07-30 · James Bosworth (Boz)_ On this week's WPR column and some potential thoughts on how I could be wrong. ## [Lula and Sheinbaum still push back effectively - July 2026](https://boz.substack.com/p/lula-and-sheinbaum-still-push-back) _2026-07-29 · James Bosworth (Boz)_ Breaking news: Brazil and Mexico are bigger and different than their smaller neighbors ## [Mexico - Tren Maya travelogue - July 2026](https://boz.substack.com/p/mexico-tren-maya-travelogue-july) _2026-07-28 · James Bosworth (Boz)_ Overbuilt, overstaffed, mega-infrastructure that successfully and comfortably got me from point A to point B on time. ## [On using AI to write newsletters](https://boz.substack.com/p/on-using-ai-to-write-newsletters) _2026-07-27 · James Bosworth (Boz)_ My thoughts on the process of co-writing with AI while keeping what is published human. ## [Friday Reading List - 24 July 2026](https://boz.substack.com/p/friday-reading-list-24-july-2026) _2026-07-24 · James Bosworth (Boz)_ More summer travel ahead ## [AI QA that opens fix PRs (Sponsored)](https://crawlproof.com/a/KOeIP77ahYxj) _2026-07-24 · **Sponsored**_ Run a browser QA from plain-English instructions; get GitHub issues and optional fix PRs. ## [Chile - Kast’s economy - July 2026](https://boz.substack.com/p/chile-kasts-economy-july-2026) _2026-07-23 · James Bosworth (Boz)_ Chile's president will get his tax and economic reform passed by the Congress. That may not be enough to save the economy and his approval ratings. ## [US Policy Odds and Ends - 22 July 2026](https://boz.substack.com/p/us-policy-odds-and-ends-22-july-2026) _2026-07-22 · James Bosworth (Boz)_ Short comments on various issues around Latin America (mostly Venezuela) rather than one long analysis ## [Colombia - ADLE’s first legislative defeat](https://boz.substack.com/p/colombia-adles-first-legislative) _2026-07-21 · James Bosworth (Boz)_ The Petro-Uribe alliance is weird and unlikely to hold, but demonstrates that President-elect de la Espriella doesn’t have guaranteed control of Congress.