Alberta Interim Boundaries Transposition

NOTE: An error in the transposition gave Banff-Jasper to the UCP, its now been corrected. The final tally is 48 UCP to 41 NDP and this has been reflected in both charts.

As the electoral season winds down for a year (hopefully), us electoral nerds have something new to sink our teeth into for a bit. After being let down by Quebec’s decision to pull back from new boundaries, and whatever Doug Ford is doing, Alberta is the next province to institute some new boundaries.

Their independent boundaries commission has put out a new report. The next legislature is slated to have 89 seats (up two from current), with several rural seats and one urban core seat disappearing to make way for more suburbia. The biggest changes to go over are:

• Elimination of Edmonton-Riverview and merger into Edmonton-Glenora, setting up a fight between NDP MLAs Lori Sigurdson and Sarah Hoffman;

• Elimination/merger of Lesser Slave Lake into Peace River (renamed Mackenzie) and Athabasca-Barrhead-Westlock, setting up a fight between former UCP MLA-turned-Alberta Party/PC revivalist wannabe Scott Sinclair and his former colleagues Dan Williams and Glenn Van Dijken;

• Carving up of Rimbey-Rocky Mountain House, forcing UCP MLA Jason Nixon into a likely fight with caucus mates, either Jennifer Johnson or Tara Sawyer;

• Several incumbents put into dicey situations, including NDPers Sarah Elmeligi (Banff-Kananaskis) and Diana Batten (Calgary-Acadia) and UCPers Mickey Amery (Calgary-Cross) and the aforementioned rural.

I’ve done the work to create a transposition of the 2023 general election onto the new boundaries. You can see it in two formats:

• Google Sheet of the 2023 Transposition, or;

• Interactive map on Flourish with the results.

Important to note that these boundaries are not final and there will be revisions. There were even some in the interim report, with seven alternate riding configurations proposed. Give it a read and share!

Share