Rural and suburban voters haven’t looked this Democratic since 2018
Plus, polls on social security, corruption, and the most popular sporting activities.
FiftyPlusOne
A website for non-partisan, data-driven political news and analysis, especially polling aggregation. Paying subscribers get access to data at FiftyPlusOne.news
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We’re suspending two pollsters from FiftyPlusOne for ethics violations
Both pollsters appear to have failed to disclose that a campaign paid for their surveys, and one admits to changing voters’ responses in favor of the candidate that allegedly paid for the survey.
Independents could decide the midterms — and they aren't happy
Plus, polls about youth sports, masculinity, and how to pack a suitcase
This year’s primaries will be the most expensive on record
What fifteen years of inflation-adjusted campaign spending data tells us about politics in 2026
General election polling averages now on FiftyPlusOne
Democrats lead in five of seven key races, but data is sparse and it's early
Affordability concerns are even more important to voters than in 2024
Inflation continues to dominate the issue landscape, and drag down the president
How 50+1 designed our 2026 election forecast page
A behind-the-scenes look into the visualization decisions we made (and didn’t make) for our new midterm forecasts
Election forecast: Democrats strongly favored to take House, Senate tilts Democratic
Our brand-new election forecast for the 2026 congressional midterms puts Democrats at equal odds to take control of both chambers
How the FiftyPlusOne 2026 election model works
An incredibly detailed explanation of our brand new forecasting model
We tracked every candidate in the 2026 primaries. Here's who voters are nominating.
Our original dataset tracks endorsements across every congressional and gubernatorial race to reveal how party leaders and ideological groups are faring.
How popular are marquee DSA policies?
Views of progressive policies are mixed, with varying opinions on different elements of each proposal
FiftyPlusOne nowcast update: Troy Jackson starts at D+2 in Maine
New polls suggest some tightening of the House and Senate elections, but Democrats are still favored in the former and competitive for the latter
Americans are not confident in election integrity
Plus, polls about the World Cup, patriotism, and more.
Major Supreme Court decisions this term are underwater with Americans
Plus, polls on Graham Platner, the World Cup, and more.
New FiftyPlusOne polling nowcast: House and Senate polls reflect D+7-8 national environment
If the election were held today, polls of individual contests suggest Democrats would win the House majority and have even odds to take the Senate
Birthright citizenship may be less popular than you think
Plus, polls about polls, and whether Americans think they could beat a chessmaster
An updated generic ballot polling average for the election cycle
Democrats lead the generic ballot among likely voters by 6 points, but by 5 among registered voters. How do we combine polls of both populations?
What we know so far about American’s opinions on the Iran Deal
All the polls we’ve seen about Iran since the Memorandum of Understanding was announced.
House members keep losing their bids for higher office
This year’s primary features an unusually high percentage of competitive House members running for other offices, and their track record is not very good
What do Americans think about the World Cup?
Plus, polls about the CDC, aliens, and more.
AI campaign ads are becoming more common
Campaign consultants are using AI, but some evidence suggests it might be counterproductive
Americans are divided along party lines about America 250
Plus, polling on inflation, data centers, and Daylight Savings Time