The people objecting to data centers are going to lose, and the reality is that they are not completely wrong, but being right has never been the deciding factor.
The British knitters around Nottingham lost this same argument in 1811. Machines arrived in their workshops turning out cheap goods that undercut their wages. They responded by smashing the frames, and Parliament made the act a capital offense. The word Luddite survives from that period as the insult thrown against technology objectors, and it is about to get a lot of use.
Roughly forty billion dollars of proposed data center capacity died on local opposition in the first quarter of this year alone, which is more than all of last year combined, and the complaints behind those votes are not manufactured. Power bills are rising in the counties that host these facilities. Water is being drawn from places that do not have it to spare. A community looking at all of that and voting no is behaving rationally.
The problem is what happens next, and following a recent community hearing in a southern state, someone put it more plainly than any analyst has. Keep the data center out of our town and it simply goes to the next town over. National demand for compute does not care which county says yes, so a local moratorium does not remove the facility, it relocates it. Every town acting in its own obvious interest produces an outcome where the facility lands on whoever is least equipped to fight it.
So the compute still gets built, and all the opposition really changes is the price and the address. Both of those are tradeable. Every canceled project pushes the next one toward jurisdictions that will pre-approve it, toward behind-the-meter generation that never touches a ratepayer bill, toward water sourcing that does not compete with a town, and toward siting remote enough that nobody shows up to object at all.
The frames went in anyway, and so will the servers. What the Luddites should teach an investor is not that the objectors are foolish, because they were not then and they are not now, but that opposition has never once decided whether something gets built. It only ever decided where it got built and who got paid to build it there.
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