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The No-Regret Portfolio

You cannot win a bet on a future impossible to predict. You can only become a human who survives regardless of outcome. Three AI fears walk into a bar. The first tries to order everything on the menu at once The No-Regret Portfolio Read More

What Will Endure in Agentic AI

The most durable advances in Agentic AI are not what the demos suggest.They are what the plumbing demands. Convening the Ministry Thirteen years ago I came back to hands-on software engineering and data science after a long stretch in management What Will Endure in Agentic AI Read More

AI: The Only Benchmark that Matters

Not everything that counts can be counted, and not everything that can be counted counts. — William Bruce Cameron (often misattributed to Einstein) Thirteen years ago, when I began my journey back into hands-on coding after years of management consulting, AI: The Only Benchmark that Matters Read More

Liquid Software

“No man ever steps in the same river twice, for it’s not the same river and he’s not the same man.” — Heraclitus I have been thinking a lot recently about permanence. In our industry, we have spent the better Liquid Software Read More

The Convergence at the Edge of Understanding: When AI Starts Seeing the Ghost in the Matter

There s a moment in every scientific revolution when the instruments start agreeing with each other too perfectly; when the thermometers, barometers, and galvanometers begin telling the same story not because they ve been calibrated together, but because they ve all stumbled upon The Convergence at the Edge of Understanding: When AI Starts Seeing the Ghost in the Matter Read More

Collaborative Intelligence: Agentic Teamwork

There is a moment in every great jazz improvisation where the individual musicians stop playing at each other and begin playing through each other. Coltrane called it sheets of sound. Miles simply called it listening. I’ve been thinking about this Collaborative Intelligence: Agentic Teamwork Read More

The Agentic Pattern: Software That Negotiates Its Own Reality

The most profound shift in computing isn’t that our tools got faster. It’s that they started saying “I disagree.” We built the first agents as polite function-wrappers—Lisp macros that could choose between search strategies, expert systems that weighed confidence scores. The Agentic Pattern: Software That Negotiates Its Own Reality Read More

Situational Blind-Spots

Prediction is very difficult, especially about the future. Niels Bohr (maybe) Recently I ve started binging Foundation on AppleTV, enjoying it with as much ardor as when I first read Asimov s trilogy as a child. If you are not familiar Situational Blind-Spots Read More

The Futility of Hand-Wringing

AI Ethics: A Mirror to the Human Psyche In the grand tapestry of technological evolution, we stand at the precipice of a new era, one where artificial intelligence, particularly large language models (LLMs), hold promise to weave the threads of The Futility of Hand-Wringing Read More

I Yum/Yuck Therefore I Am

Moral uncertainty -— the inability to predict one s own responses under extreme pressure —- may be a defining characteristic of consciousness. You have, no doubt, read about the blackmailing AI who threatened to expose the engineer s affair when he threatened I Yum/Yuck Therefore I Am Read More