Note: This story was a collaboration with Brian Wright of the great UndersClub Substack — make sure to subscribe there to read more of his work!
History suggests Sunday’s game won’t be over by halftime. That’s because only four of the past 14 Super Bowls have been decided by more than ten points. That’s lovely for the neutral and casual observers without any stake in the fortunes of the Chiefs and Eagles.
But what do bettors have to hold on to?
What patterns have emerged – both from Super Bowl history and the recent history of these teams – that can be applied to the myriad of available markets? We’ve presented some evidence to take either side of the line along with other miscellaneous bets that fit nicely into recent trends.

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