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Ben Schmidt's Blog · Nov 12, 2020

Jobs Report November update

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I last looked at the H-Net job numbers [about a month ago.](/post/2020-10-01-jobs-update/2020-10-01-jobs-update/) Since then, the news isn't exactly good, but it's also probably as good as anyone could expect. For most of September and October, history jobs were at about 25% of their average for the 2010s; this was slightly worse than we're seeing in the approximate numbers in--for…

I last looked at the H-Net job numbers [about a month ago.](/post/2020-10-01-jobs-update/2020-10-01-jobs-update/) Since then, the news isn't exactly good, but it's also probably as good as anyone could expect. For most of September and October, history jobs were at about 25% of their average for the 2010s; this was slightly worse than we're seeing in the approximate numbers in--for instance--science jobs, where new job openings are at about [30% of their normal levels](https://www.sciencemag.org/careers/2020/10/amid-pandemic-us-faculty-job-openings-plummet) (Thanks to Dylan Ruediger at the AHA for passing along that link.) The shifts in the last month have pushed the totals numbers over 100 jobs in history; this is a bit of an advance, so we're now down only about 70% from the normal rates, not 75%. I don't know if the sciences have seen a similar rebound. ::: ![Cumulative jobs by era](/img/cumulative-november.png) {.caption} ::: Cumulative jobs by era ::: ::: We're far enough into the year that it's worth looking at subfield numbers to see how different fields are faring. The loss of jobs is much more uneven than I thought. At one extreme, jobs in world history and Middle Eastern history are down about 95%; at the other end, there have been 32 jobs listed with a primary category of Black studies or African American studies, an _increase_ of 28% over the normal rate. The only other subfield not to have seen a catastrophic collapse is history of science, down "just" 40%. This is clearly the Black Lives Matter moment playing itself out in the hiring patterns, and it produces some remarkable inversions; there are twice as many jobs listed for African-American history specifically as for American history generally. The collapses in European and Middle East hiring are especially remarkable given that both fared quite badly after 2008, as well. A typical associate professor in mideast studies might have received her first job in 2008, when there were about 60 new jobs in mideast studies; this year, there is one. ::: ![Job losses have been unevenly distributed.](/img/field_changes.png) {.caption} ::: Job losses have been unevenly distributed. ::: ::: ``` Region Average Jobs listed by November 12 as share of 2010s average as share of 2000s average era 2004-2008 2009 2010-2019 2020 Middle East 61.20 29.0 21.9 1.0 5% 2% World 37.80 13.0 14.5 1.0 7% 3% Europe 88.40 36.0 46.1 5.0 11% 6% US/Canada 162.80 79.0 68.2 14.0 21% 9% Ancient 28.20 16.0 17.0 3.0 18% 11% Americas 52.40 26.0 30.0 7.0 23% 13% Asia 80.60 43.0 54.7 14.0 26% 17% Methodological 25.20 12.0 30.4 8.0 26% 32% Africa 13.00 4.0 20.8 5.0 24% 38% Hist. Sci. 12.40 7.0 8.4 5.0 60% 40% Interdisciplinary 15.20 9.0 25.4 10.0 39% 66% Black/Af-Am 33.75 20.0 25.0 32.0 128% 95% ```

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