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Political Calculus

A Substack on the connections between politics and the economy from the author of Why Politics Fails.

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Pardogatto Progressivism

The switch in radicalism from left to right is the key challenge of our age

Donald Trump's Calendar of Chaos

A monthly cycle of inevitable consequences

The Apprentice's Sorcerer

Or I how I learned to start worrying and love Claude Code

My Minneapolis

An ode to a city that knows who it is

Bloc Parties

In a world of bloc politics, what's a good offensive strategy?

Odd Ones Out

Mapping Britain's social values and the marginalisation of the 'anti-woke'

Labour at the Margin...

...of survival

British Politics' Midlife Crisis

Why British Parties Can't Make Peace with Their Actual Voters

Select and Respect

How to create a UK immigration policy that can command public support

Migration Policy through a Glass, Darkly

What public opinion tells us and doesn't tell us about British migration policy

Who Counts?

The increasing extremism in British commentary about race

The Art of Not Taking the Deal

From TACO to TOSTADA

Don't Make Plans for Nigel

At least just yet...

Labour is Learning the Wrong Lessons

Centre-left incumbents are staying in power by aggressively pushing back on populists, not by aping them

The (Non)Gamification of Real Life

What if you can't actually hack your way to social status?

Donald Trump's Anti-Leviathan

What if we abandoned the social contract for the state of nature?

Simple

Or perhaps not

For my enemies, no law

Not every court case is lawfare - the mainstream needs to buck up

FADFO

A lot of people have a 'need for chaos', as long as there's no chaos

Twilight of the Populists?

Perhaps it's possible that, despite it all, we have reached peak populism