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A few years ago, my colleagues and I decided to test the Diaconis-Holmes-Montgomery (DHM) hypothesis that a fair coin, when flipped in the air and caught in the hand, tends to land on its starting side slightly more often than… Continue reading →
Before proceeding, I should say something about Richard Feynman. In his physics work, Feyman was clearly a genius. And as a public persona, Feynman was certainly also charismatic (see for instance his interviews on YouTube). Moreover, Feynman helped popularize science… Continue reading →
LT;DR In the current era of AI, there is no longer any excuse for manuscripts that contain typographical errors, grammatical errors, unclear formulations, errors in equations, incorrect references, missing references, and a demonstrated lack of awareness for related work. A… Continue reading →
Recently I was hunting for an epigraph to start a manuscript on the topic of forgetting. Claude helpfully suggested several options including one from 1821: For a more literary and philosophical register, Thomas De Quincey offers something that resonates with… Continue reading →
tl;dr: Bruss and Paindaveine did all of this already in December 2025, and better. The initial title of this post was If This Does Not Blow Your Mind, Nothing Will , but we didn t want to be accused of producing clickbait.… Continue reading →
On January 26th this year, Johnny van Doorn presented an hour-long tutorial lecture on Theory and Practice of Bayesian Inference Using JASP . You can check it out on YouTube here! Highly recommended. Eric-Jan Wagenmakers Eric-Jan (EJ) Wagenmakers is professor at… Continue reading →
For better or for worse, it appears that my most appreciated work is the children s book Bayesian Thinking for Toddlers (the intro post is here and an exegesis is here). Piled up in my office is a stack of self-printed… Continue reading →
The statistical significance test was not invented by Ronald Fisher. The key idea was already laid out by Francis Ysidro Edgeworth (1845-1926), whose 1885 article Methods of statistics is quite explicit about the purpose, design, and interpretation of the significance… Continue reading →