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Austin Vernon

Austin Vernon's Blog

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A Nuclear Fission Regulatory Blank Slate

What if nuclear regulations were reset? ... Read More

How Rockefeller and His Partners Built Standard Oil

Many tech industry followers will recognize the playbook. ... Read More

Building Ultra Cheap Energy Storage for Solar PV

Solar still needs storage cheap enough to move energy between seasons. I have been working on a startup to do this for the last two years. ... Read More

Expanding the Universal Marginal Energy Source

Solar PV is poised to change the global energy landscape. ... Read More

Are Volcanoes a Risk to Solar Dominated Grids?

It seems grids will fare fine because of non linear affects. ... Read More

The Outsize Impact of AI Logistics

Automated logistics will heavy impact one third of GDP. ... Read More

A Review of Massively Scalable Enhanced Rock Weathering

How cheap can it pull CO2 from the air? ... Read More

Startup Strategy for Commodity Products

Making ultra cheap products requires different rules and strategy. ... Read More

Imagining the Drone Air Force

Can cheap, expendable drones complete every mission? ... Read More

Integrating AI Agents into Companies

AI needs a different environment than humans to take advantage of its speed. ... Read More

Human Driving Increases Transportation Cost 10x

Why ground transportation still has a lot of legs. ... Read More

2024 Geothermal Update

Drilling and completions technology progresses, but is it enough? ... Read More

How to Make Off Grid Data Centers Affordable

Powering data centers with solar and batteries can be compelling with optimized designs. ... Read More

Revitalizing US Navy Shipbuilding

The US Navy's ship program is sick, but the fixes aren't rocket science. ... Read More

Making Hydrogen Affordable

Green hydrogen could be critical for chemical production, but making it cost effective is a tall task. ... Read More

Evaluating Geothermal Learning Curves

A look at how geothermal might improve like wind and solar. ... Read More

In Defense of Electricity Markets

Electricity markets are often maligned but they are the best option for handling changing electricity generating technology. ... Read More

The Case for Brick Thermal Storage

Thermal storage could solve many difficult areas of decarbonization. ... Read More

2023 Geothermal Update

Drilling technology progresses, but is it enough? ... Read More

The Future of Carbon Dioxide Direct Air Capture

How do we scale to gigatons? ... Read More

The Minimum Viable Navy

What is the absolute minimum performance we need to counter China? ... Read More

Why Battery Powered Cargo Ships are Compelling

Ships need cheap batteries instead of high performance ones. ... Read More

How to Build a House in One Day

Humanoid robots powered by artificial intelligence could build regular houses in one day using traditional construction techniques. ... Read More

The Case for Separating Fission from Electricity Production

Nuclear power could level up by producing high value products. ... Read More

Nuclear Power's Challenges in less than 1000 Words

There are fundamental reasons nuclear power struggles with cost. ... Read More

AI Tutors and Education Reform

AI can revolutionize K-12, but how many actually want it? ... Read More

Fuel Logistics for a Pacific War

How hard is it to fuel a war across a vast ocean? ... Read More

Are Aircraft Carriers Obsolete?

One poorly designed class of ships does not obsolete aircraft carriers. ... Read More

The Weapons That Win World Wars

Asymmetric advantages disappear when the gloves come off. ... Read More

The Future of Industrial Process Heat

New competitors hope to challenge fossil fuel's dominance. ... Read More

How the US Military is Responding to China

The US is rapidly compensating for the short range of its fighter aircraft. ... Read More

The Decentralization of Atoms is Underrated

Stephen Malina and I co-wrote this post to praise flexible and distributed technologies. ... Read More

Electric Trucks are Ready for the Road

New designs that can utilize cheaper battery chemistries will alleviate scaling problems. ... Read More

Can Nuclear Power Manage Another Comeback?

Nuclear power survived a dark period in the 1980s by increasing output from existing power plants, can it build on that success to grow again? ... Read More

How to Reduce the Impact of Fossil Fuels on Electricity Prices

An explanation of a Matt Ygelesias tweet. ... Read More

The Nuts and Bolts of Siting and Building Power Lines

Politics and physics add many constraints. ... Read More

Geothermal's Path to Relevance: Better Heat Transfer and Heat Engines

What technology does geothermal need to be competitive? ... Read More

Is the Smart Grid All Hot Air?

The benefits of different smart grid technologies vary widely. ... Read More

The Realities of 21st Century Defense Contracting

Atoms are more important than bits when killing people. ... Read More

Simple Solutions Power Solar's Advance

The solar supply chain is pushing complexity to giant factories. ... Read More

SpaceX's Starship: America's Secret Weapon

Declining launch costs enable new classes of weapons. ... Read More

The Electric Car's Shrinking Role in Reducing Oil Demand

Trucks, vans, and other high mileage vehicles promise to impact oil demand more than EVs. ... Read More

Russia's Apparent Shortage of Smart Bombs Caused a Cascade of Failures

Precision Guided Munitions drive modern war and somehow Russia forgot to build enough. ... Read More

Ending Russia's Hydrocarbon Windfall

What is the correct goal and what can be done quickly? ... Read More

Natural Gas is a Fuel of the Future

Inertia and new technology make it hard and undesirable to root out. ... Read More

Why is the Nuclear Power Industry Stagnant?

Technical and economic barriers prevent nuclear from growing. ... Read More

The Future of E-Bikes

E-Bike technology is amazing. How will it improve, and how will we use it? ... Read More

The Three Horseman of Grid Stability

Grid operators must balance the grid at the millisecond level, the daily level, and during peak events. ... Read More

Geothermal's Path to Relevance: Cheap Drilling

What technology does geothermal need to be competitive? ... Read More

Energy Prices are Naturally Turbulent

Volatility flows up from our energy technologies. ... Read More