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Austin Tripp's website · Jan 5, 2026

Predictions for ML/AI in 2026 (and 2025 predictions re-visited).

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Last year I made a bunch of predictions about ML , and since 2025 is over it’s time to grade myself and repeat this exercise. This will be a lower effort version than last year’s: partly because AI is growing and I don’t think I’m doing a good job keeping track of it, partly because a lot of progress is happening behind closed doors of frontier labs (so less info is available to me as an…

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