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Alex’s blog

Personal site for posts about my interests: the biotech industry, medicine, molecular biology, neuroscience, biorisk, science, consciousness, AI, innovation, decision making, philosophy, games, sci-fi, probability, and forecasting (among other things). I write to learn, mostly about biotech.

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Latest posts

Going direct: notes on Eli Lilly at a trillion

Thoughts on the future of software development as a non-developer

Will all our drugs come from China?

A new breed of biotech

Some questions about biotech that I find interesting

The pharma industry from Paul Janssen to today: why drugs got harder to develop and what we can do about it

Latent optima

All data is the result of some selection process. The first order manifestation of this is bias: a failure to select a representative sample of the real underlying thing the data is describing. But selection operates at multiple hierarchies. For something to exist such that data can be collected about it, that something must have been created instead of some other thing — it must have survived a…

Concepts of health and disease as a barrier to progress

This essay was the runner-up in the Homeworld Ideas writing contest. To read it on the Homeworld website, click here.

An Enhertu innovation map

Intelligence as efficient model building