# Artificial Confidence What changed in AI this week, adjusted for spin. Page: Feed: --- ## [Reading the tea leaves: 2026 predictions](https://artificialconfidence.com/p/reading-the-tea-leaves-2026-predictions) _2026-07-29 · Corey Quinn_ In which I get to make some predictions about our space. ## [Frontier lab economics have bifurcated: tax the exit, lobby against the free](https://artificialconfidence.com/p/frontier-lab-economics-have-bifurcated) _2026-07-21 · Corey Quinn_ Distillation is cost optimization at home and theft abroad. ## [The Model Stopped Being the Product This Week](https://artificialconfidence.com/p/the-model-stopped-being-the-product) _2026-07-15 · Corey Quinn_ Five "unrelated" stories, one repricing: the value in AI has moved to everything around the model, if you're paying attention. You read this newsletter; obviously you are. ## [Artificial Confidence: They all picked September 1st](https://artificialconfidence.com/p/artificial-confidence-they-all-picked) _2026-07-09 · Corey Quinn_ Fable came back last week, and Anthropic already moved its own leaving date once. Meanwhile GitHub, Google, and Anthropic all set their real price hike for the day after Labor Day, when your finance t ## [Artificial Confidence: Ask permission, not forgiveness](https://artificialconfidence.com/p/artificial-confidence-ask-permission) _2026-06-30 · Corey Quinn_ Anthropic shipped Fable 5 to the public; we know what happened next. OpenAI cleared GPT-5.6 with Washington before launch and got to ship. This bodes ill. ## [Artificial Confidence: You can’t repossess a download](https://artificialconfidence.com/p/artificial-confidence-you-cant-repossess) _2026-06-23 · Corey Quinn_ A government nastygram took the country’s best coding model offline for everyone. What arrived the same week isn’t a frontier replacement; it’s an Opus-class workhorse you can own. ## [No failover for the Commerce Secretary](https://artificialconfidence.com/p/no-failover-for-the-commerce-secretary) _2026-06-15 · Corey Quinn_ The US government switched off Anthropic's two best models for every customer on Friday evening. Your disaster-recovery plan has a runbook for an outage, yet nothing for a letter from Commerce. ## [Claude Opus / Fable / Shitpost](https://artificialconfidence.com/p/claude-opus-fable-shitpost) _2026-06-09 · Corey Quinn_ In April it was too dangerous to release. In June it's in your Pro subscription until the 22nd, then it isn't, then maybe it is again. ## [Artificial Confidence: xAI, the Neocloud](https://artificialconfidence.com/p/artificial-confidence-xai-the-neocloud) _2026-06-09 · Corey Quinn_ xAI raised frontier-lab money, then used it to quietly turn into a GPU landlord, renting its Memphis data center to the two competitors out-shipping it. Apple conceded it can’t host its own AI either. ## [Artificial Confidence: GitHub Repriced the Habit it Built](https://artificialconfidence.com/p/artificial-confidence-github-repriced) _2026-06-05 · Corey Quinn_ GitHub evolved its billing model, and you’ll feel it soon. Everyone else annualized their best month and called it revenue. ## [Earn crypto from idle GPUs (Sponsored)](https://crawlproof.com/a/VcXl4ObyxFkU) _2026-06-05 · **Sponsored**_ Run one CLI command, connect your GPU, and start receiving crypto payouts. ## [Artificial Confidence: Banned by Pentagon, blessed by Pope, paid for by you](https://artificialconfidence.com/p/artificial-confidence-banned-by-pentagon) _2026-05-26 · Corey Quinn_ Five assumptions your AI vendor stack lost in five business days. The trade press will not be on the cc line of your Q3 invoice. ## [Artificial Confidence: The Spec for the Agent-Native Cloud, and Who Might Actually Ship It](https://artificialconfidence.com/p/artificial-confidence-the-spec-for) _2026-05-20 · Corey Quinn_ I tweeted a twelve-point spec for what an agent-native cloud actually needs to look like. Vercel volunteered. Cloudflare's engineers got to work. Here's the test. ## [Artificial Confidence #2: The week AI labs became Palantir](https://artificialconfidence.com/p/artificial-confidence-2-the-week) _2026-05-19 · Corey Quinn_ Anthropic and OpenAI both stood up consulting arms this month. GitHub Copilot quietly admitted its subscription pricing never made sense. Vercel published the receipts. ## [Artificial Confidence #1: AWS gave the agents a credit card](https://artificialconfidence.com/p/artificial-confidence-1-aws-gave) _2026-05-12 · Corey Quinn_ Inaugural issue. Microsoft Research benchmarked the agents and they're not ready; AWS gave them a credit card anyway.