@@ -15,46 +15,60 @@ kernelspec:
15151616## Overview
171718-In this section we
18+In the lecture {doc}`long_run_growth` we studied how GDP per capita has changed
19+for certain countries and regions.
20+21+Per capital GDP is important because it gives us an idea of average income for
22+households in a given country.
23+24+However, when we study income and wealth, averages are only part of the story.
25+26+For example, imagine two societies, each with one million people, where
27+28+* in the first society, the yearly income of one man is $100,000,000 and the income of the
29+ others is zero
30+* in the second society, the yearly income of everyone is $100
31+32+These countries have the same income per capita (average income is $100) but the lives of the people will be very different (e.g., almost everyone in the first society is
33+starving, even though one person is fabulously rich).
34+35+The example above suggests that we should go beyond simple averages when we study income and wealth.
36+37+This leads us to the topic of economic inequality, which examines how income and wealth (and other quantities) are distributed across a population.
38+39+In this lecture we study inequality, beginning with measures of inequality and
40+then applying them to wealth and income data from the US and other countries.
41+194220-* provide motivation for the techniques deployed in the lecture and
21-* import code libraries needed for our work.
22432344### Some history
244525-Many historians argue that inequality played a key role in the fall of the
26-Roman Republic.
46+Many historians argue that inequality played a role in the fall of the Roman Republic (see, e.g., {cite}`levitt2019did`).
27472848Following the defeat of Carthage and the invasion of Spain, money flowed into
2949Rome from across the empire, greatly enriched those in power.
30503151Meanwhile, ordinary citizens were taken from their farms to fight for long
3252periods, diminishing their wealth.
335334-The resulting growth in inequality caused political turmoil that shook the
35-foundations of the republic.
54+The resulting growth in inequality was a driving factor behind political turmoil that shook the foundations of the republic.
365537-Eventually, the Roman Republic gave way to a series of dictatorships, starting
38-with Octavian (Augustus) in 27 BCE.
56+Eventually, the Roman Republic gave way to a series of dictatorships, starting with [Octavian](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Augustus) (Augustus) in 27 BCE.
395740-This history is fascinating in its own right, and we can see some
41-parallels with certain countries in the modern world.
58+This history tells us that inequality matters, in the sense that it can drive major world events.
425943-Let's now look at inequality in some of these countries.
60+There are other reasons that inequality might matter, such as how it affects
61+human welfare.
446245-46-### Measurement
63+With this motivation, let us start to think about what inequality is and how we
64+can quantify and analyze it.
4765486649-Political debates often revolve around inequality.
50-51-One problem with these debates is that inequality is often poorly defined.
52-53-Moreover, debates on inequality are often tied to political beliefs.
67+### Measurement
546855-This is dangerous for economists because allowing political beliefs to shape our findings reduces objectivity.
69+In politics and popular media, the word "inequality" is often used quite loosely, without any firm definition.
567057-To bring a truly scientific perspective to the topic of inequality we must start with careful definitions.
71+To bring a scientific perspective to the topic of inequality we must start with careful definitions.
58725973Hence we begin by discussing ways that inequality can be measured in economic research.
6074@@ -77,6 +91,8 @@ import wbgapi as wb
7791import plotly.express as px
7892```
799394+95+8096## The Lorenz curve
81978298One popular measure of inequality is the Lorenz curve.
@@ -197,7 +213,7 @@ households own just over 40\% of total wealth.
197213---
198214mystnb:
199215 figure:
200- caption: Lorenz curve of simulated data
216+ caption: Lorenz curve of simulated wealth data
201217 name: lorenz_simulated
202218---
203219n = 2000
@@ -212,13 +228,16 @@ ax.plot(f_vals, f_vals, label='equality', lw=2)
212228ax.vlines([0.8], [0.0], [0.43], alpha=0.5, colors='k', ls='--')
213229ax.hlines([0.43], [0], [0.8], alpha=0.5, colors='k', ls='--')
214230ax.set_xlim((0, 1))
215-ax.set_xlabel("share of households (%)")
231+ax.set_xlabel("share of households")
216232ax.set_ylim((0, 1))
217-ax.set_ylabel("share of income (%)")
233+ax.set_ylabel("share of wealth")
218234ax.legend()
219235plt.show()
220236```
221237238+239+240+222241### Lorenz curves for US data
223242224243Next let's look at US data for both income and wealth.
@@ -304,8 +323,8 @@ ax.plot(f_vals_nw[-1], l_vals_nw[-1], label=f'net wealth')
304323ax.plot(f_vals_ti[-1], l_vals_ti[-1], label=f'total income')
305324ax.plot(f_vals_li[-1], l_vals_li[-1], label=f'labor income')
306325ax.plot(f_vals_nw[-1], f_vals_nw[-1], label=f'equality')
307-ax.set_xlabel("share of households (%)")
308-ax.set_ylabel("share of income/wealth (%)")
326+ax.set_xlabel("share of households")
327+ax.set_ylabel("share of income/wealth")
309328ax.legend()
310329plt.show()
311330```
@@ -316,14 +335,15 @@ One key finding from this figure is that wealth inequality is more extreme than
316335317336318337338+339+319340## The Gini coefficient
320341321-The Lorenz curve is a useful visual representation of inequality in a distribution.
342+The Lorenz curve provides a visual representation of inequality in a distribution.
322343323344Another way to study income and wealth inequality is via the Gini coefficient.
324345325-In this section we discuss the Gini coefficient and its relationship to the
326-Lorenz curve.
346+In this section we discuss the Gini coefficient and its relationship to the Lorenz curve.
327347328348329349@@ -354,21 +374,19 @@ The idea is that $G=0$ indicates complete equality, while $G=1$ indicates comple
354374---
355375mystnb:
356376 figure:
357- caption: Shaded Lorenz curve of simulated data
377+ caption: Gini coefficient (simulated wealth data)
358378 name: lorenz_gini
359379---
360380fig, ax = plt.subplots()
361381f_vals, l_vals = lorenz_curve(sample)
362382ax.plot(f_vals, l_vals, label=f'lognormal sample', lw=2)
363383ax.plot(f_vals, f_vals, label='equality', lw=2)
364-ax.vlines([0.8], [0.0], [0.43], alpha=0.5, colors='k', ls='--')
365-ax.hlines([0.43], [0], [0.8], alpha=0.5, colors='k', ls='--')
366384ax.fill_between(f_vals, l_vals, f_vals, alpha=0.06)
367385ax.set_ylim((0, 1))
368386ax.set_xlim((0, 1))
369387ax.text(0.04, 0.5, r'$G = 2 \times$ shaded area')
370388ax.set_xlabel("share of households (%)")
371-ax.set_ylabel("share of income/wealth (%)")
389+ax.set_ylabel("share of wealth (%)")
372390ax.legend()
373391plt.show()
374392```
@@ -399,16 +417,16 @@ ax.set_ylim((0, 1))
399417ax.set_xlim((0, 1))
400418ax.text(0.55, 0.4, 'A')
401419ax.text(0.75, 0.15, 'B')
402-ax.set_xlabel("share of households (%)")
403-ax.set_ylabel("share of income/wealth (%)")
420+ax.set_xlabel("share of households")
421+ax.set_ylabel("share of wealth")
404422ax.legend()
405423plt.show()
406424```
407425408426409427410428```{seealso}
411-The World in Data project has a [nice graphical exploration of the Lorenz curve and the Gini coefficient](https://ourworldindata.org/what-is-the-gini-coefficient)
429+The World in Data project has a [graphical exploration of the Lorenz curve and the Gini coefficient](https://ourworldindata.org/what-is-the-gini-coefficient)
412430```
413431414432### Gini coefficient of simulated data
@@ -527,7 +545,7 @@ To get a quick overview, let's histogram Gini coefficients across all countries
527545---
528546mystnb:
529547 figure:
530- caption: Histogram of Gini coefficients
548+ caption: Histogram of Gini coefficients across countries
531549 name: gini_histogram
532550---
533551# Fetch gini data for all countries
@@ -585,21 +603,20 @@ As can be seen in {numref}`gini_usa1`, the income Gini
585603trended upward from 1980 to 2020 and then dropped following at the start of the COVID pandemic.
586604587605(compare-income-wealth-usa-over-time)=
588-### Gini coefficient for wealth (US data)
606+### Gini coefficient for wealth
589607590-In the previous section we looked at the Gini coefficient for income using US data.
608+In the previous section we looked at the Gini coefficient for income, focusing on using US data.
591609592610Now let's look at the Gini coefficient for the distribution of wealth.
593611594-We can use the {ref}`Survey of Consumer Finances data <data:survey-consumer-finance>` to look at the Gini coefficient
595-computed over the wealth distribution.
612+We will use US data from the {ref}`Survey of Consumer Finances<data:survey-consumer-finance>`
596613597614598615```{code-cell} ipython3
599616df_income_wealth.year.describe()
600617```
601618602-**Note:** This code can be used to compute this information over the full dataset.
619+This code can be used to compute this information over the full dataset.
603620604621```{code-cell} ipython3
605622:tags: [skip-execution, hide-input, hide-output]
@@ -666,7 +683,6 @@ plt.show()
666683The time series for the wealth Gini exhibits a U-shape, falling until the early
6676841980s and then increasing rapidly.
668685669-670686One possibility is that this change is mainly driven by technology.
671687672688However, we will see below that not all advanced economies experienced similar growth of inequality.
@@ -677,7 +693,8 @@ However, we will see below that not all advanced economies experienced similar g
677693678694### Cross-country comparisons of income inequality
679695680-Earlier in this lecture we used `wbgapi` to get Gini data across many countries and saved it in a variable called `gini_all`
696+Earlier in this lecture we used `wbgapi` to get Gini data across many countries
697+and saved it in a variable called `gini_all`
681698682699In this section we will use this data to compare several advanced economies, and
683700to look at the evolution in their respective income Ginis.
@@ -821,7 +838,6 @@ the US exhibits persistent but stable levels around a Gini coefficient of 40.
821838822839Another popular measure of inequality is the top shares.
823840824-825841In this section we show how to compute top shares.
826842827843