David Sloan · iopscience.iop.org

Abraham Loeb, Rafael A. Batista and David Sloan

Published 18 August 2016 © 2016 IOP Publishing Ltd and Sissa Medialab srl
Journal of Cosmology and Astroparticle Physics, Volume 2016, August 2016Citation Abraham Loeb et al JCAP08(2016)040DOI 10.1088/1475-7516/2016/08/040

Abraham Loeb

AFFILIATIONS

Astronomy department, Harvard University, 60 Garden Street, Cambridge, MA 02138, U.S.A.

Rafael A. Batista

AFFILIATIONS

Department of Physics - Astrophysics, University of Oxford, DWB, Keble Road, OX1 3RH, Oxford, U.K.

David Sloan

AFFILIATIONS

Department of Physics - Astrophysics, University of Oxford, DWB, Keble Road, OX1 3RH, Oxford, U.K.

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      Abraham Loeb

      AFFILIATIONS

      Astronomy department, Harvard University, 60 Garden Street, Cambridge, MA 02138, U.S.A.

      Rafael A. Batista

      AFFILIATIONS

      Department of Physics - Astrophysics, University of Oxford, DWB, Keble Road, OX1 3RH, Oxford, U.K.

      David Sloan

      AFFILIATIONS

      Department of Physics - Astrophysics, University of Oxford, DWB, Keble Road, OX1 3RH, Oxford, U.K.

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      1475-7516/2016/08/040

      Abstract

      Is life most likely to emerge at the present cosmic time near a star like the Sun? We address this question by calculating the relative formation probability per unit time of habitable Earth-like planets within a fixed comoving volume of the Universe, dP(t)/dt, starting from the first stars and continuing to the distant cosmic future. We conservatively restrict our attention to the context of ``life as we know it'' and the standard cosmological model, ΛCDM . We find that unless habitability around low mass stars is suppressed, life is most likely to exist near ∼ 0.1M stars ten trillion years from now. Spectroscopic searches for biosignatures in the atmospheres of transiting Earth-mass planets around low mass stars will determine whether present-day life is indeed premature or typical from a cosmic perspective.

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