Exclusive: The Taliban’s five‑year probationary window, the informal period during which they were expected to prove compliance with the commitments made in the 2020 Doha Agreement is closing with a thundering sense of failure and foreboding. Internal sources within the Taliban Leadership Council now admit that the movement’s inability to meet its obligations has triggered a dangerous convergence of internal fractures, rising insecurity, and the emergence of a determined armed resistance in the north.

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