Framework for a Hypercapable World
Steerable superintelligence will enable vast implementation capacity. Our option space is unprecedented. We should backward-chain from positive outcomes. I’ve proposed a framework.
AI Prospects: Understanding Options in a Hypercapable World
AI will transform our world in deep and unexpected ways. We must understand our options to rethink our goals.
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When concepts shed complexity and gain memetic fitness, they often cross from true to false; the false version spreads faster and replaces the original. Epistemic damage follows
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The Bypass Principle: How AI flows around obstacles
AI will drive change, but even obvious obstacles may prove illusory. Expect advances to flow through new channels.
AI Safety Without Trusting AI
To ensure AI safety, we’ll need advanced AI capabilities. But how can we trust entities smarter than us? (Spoiler: We don’t have to.)
AI-Driven Strategic Transformation: Preparing to Pivot
Prospects for deep AI-driven transformation of military and economic affairs call for rethinking national strategies. We must prepare to pivot when emerging realities force change.
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Coherent strategies for a hypercapable world call for coherent scenarios. Incoherence could be lethal.
Paretotopian Goal Alignment
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Emerging technologies and innovative governance can reshape the landscape of security, privacy, and international cooperation.
Breaking Software Bottlenecks
What if flawless software could be developed easily, quickly, and at scale?
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AI and robotics will revolutionize production capacity and reduce costs, but machines making more machines doesn’t mean hordes of robots building more robots.