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Agadjanian Politics

Analyzing Surveys, Elections, and Political Behavior in American Politics

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Latest posts

Personal socioeconomic status and support for increasing the minimum wage

More here.

An Update on White Racial Attitude Trends in 2024

More here. Earlier post here.

Historical Context for 2024 State Polling Error (Updated Analysis)

More here and here.

Thoughts + resources on understanding the 2024 election

What (I think) we know: 1. The election was largely a uniform swing against Democrats. They lost ground everywhere across all types of counties and basically all states including deep blue ones, which reflected in the popular vote now flipping to Republicans favor. 2. Widespread shifts imply broader macro factors at play affecting everyone s [ ]

2024 State Polling Error in (Recent) Historical Context

More here.

Does panel data from 2020-2022 show signs of a partisan realignment?

More here.

Racial Identification Change among the American Public, 2020-2022

More here.

Tracking Hispanic Presidential Vote Intentions a Year Out from the 2024 Election

More here.

EPL Team Performance Relative to Expected Goals Through 20 Matches in 2023-24 Season

More here.

Polling error by days out from 2020 election

More here.