Where is market heading? Mid-Term Cycle..

Too many ask me where the market’s going so let me spell it out.

If you follow the four year cycle or the midterm cycle, the average drawdown is about 8-15%. That’s not theory, that’s what happens over and over again. We’re already sitting around a 9% pullback. It’s spring. This is exactly where you’d expect to be.

Data usually points to a bottom somewhere around September or October.

Now here’s where it gets real.

This time you’ve got a war sitting right in the middle of it. Iran. That feeds oil. Oil feeds inflation. Inflation feeds printing. Printing feeds chaos.

So the war becomes the barometer.

If somehow this thing wraps up fast in the next couple of weeks, which I don’t believe anymore, you’re going to get a rip your face off rally. A real one. The kind that squeezes everyone, marks a bottom early, and then runs into a blow off top.

But if this drags on, which all signs point to unless you’re blindly believing the same people who lie to your face, then you’re probably looking at a deeper move. Something closer to a 20% drawdown. Another 9 or 10% from here.

Sorry, I don’t make the rules, I just know how to follow them.

That could happen fast into June or they stretch it out and chop you to death until September or October.

Both are on the table.

This isn’t rocket science. I’ve been doing this for 30 years.

And here’s the part nobody wants to hear but it’s the truth.

It doesn’t even matter long term.

After midterms, the move off the lows into the following year is usually 30 to 40% higher. Violent. Consistent. It happens again and again.

That’s why some of us look like prophets. It’s cycles. They repeat. Not perfectly, but close enough if you’re paying attention. I thought this cycle is handled different, I believed i was in tune with the admin, but I wasn’t they are liars.

Now throw in something like this war and yeah, it can bend the cycle. Maybe even break it short term. For better or worse.

Do not think for a second the people running this and the insiders on Wall Street don’t know these cycles. They know exactly what they’re doing. Timing is never random.

So they either ride this thing down into a typical cycle low or they flip the script with some grand resolution, peace deal, victory tour, and send markets into a euphoric blow off top.

It can go either way. I’m watching it like everyone else.

But zoom out.

Buy Bitcoin. Buy data centers. Buy AI. Buy technology. Buy nuclear. Stuff you know will win big in the future. This is where we make our generational wealth.

I don’t charge fancy subscription, I don’t make belive I have a hidden secret like others do. They all just follow the same patterns, but like fad diets, everyone puts ribbons and bows on it and sells it a different way, when it’s just calorie deficient.

They hate me for telling you the truth, but like I always say, I don’t know how to lie.

I’ll always be mega bullish on Bitcoin though, I’ll tell you to buy that at all pricing, doesn’t matter in the future.

Let’s see how things play out…