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Advantage’s Substack · Jan 2, 2025

2025 Predictions

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Advantage Blockchain · Advantage’s Substack

AB updates are for informational purposes only. Do not construe any of the following as investment, financial, or other advice. You make your own decisions.

…best logo in the game…

Disclaimer: AB Research is a culmination of research & insights from the diverse capacity of the AB Team. Ultimately our focus & mission is education towards financial freedom. This is a special edition. By no means are any of these predictions to be viewed as a guarantee of future events. Always do your own research. Never risk more than you are willing to lose.

2024 was a pivotal year for both the crypto industry and Advantage Blockchain. From adding AB team members to ETF approval, momentum was compounding the whole year. We’re continuing to build everyday to make 2025 even better.

…all OG memes will become coins…

We’ve compiled 2025 crypto predictions, along with longs and shorts, from the AB Team.

Executive, Portfolio Management
ETH ETF Inflows…is Wall St. rotating BTC to ETH?

Predictions:

  1. ETH will outperform BTC

    +AB Fund will outperform BTC, ETH, & the COIN 50 Index

  2. The Optimism Superchain will continue to evolve as the most widely adopted blockchain scaling solution. Most people will continue to have no idea the OP Stack is behind their favorite blockchain applications (AB called this in 2021)

  3. Base will explode with mass adoption and continue to flourish as the central activity hub of Ethereum. Base and Ethereum will be referred to as one in the same rather than L1 vs L2 narratives

  4. Mr. Miggles will be featured in a Coinbase super bowl commercial. Around this time MIGGLES will reach 50¢ (and beyond) forcing AB’s CFO to get a real cat named Mr. Miggles

  5. Advantage Blockchain will become a household name in the crypto industry.

Biggest Longs: ETH, Base & Optimism Ecosystems, Aerodrome, Miggles, Virtuals, DeSci

Biggest Shorts: USD, all L1s outside of Ethereum & Solana

Executive, Research
…have we seen this movie before…

Predictions:

  1. AI will exceed the DeFi boom of 2020/2021

  2. Ethereum ETFs will approve staking and have more net flows than BTC in 2025

  3. Total Crypto Market cap reaches 69% (~$12T) of Gold’s Market Cap (~$18T)

  4. Ethereum almost reaches Bitcoin’s high from 2017 (~$20K)

  5. 2025 NFT season as people again flex once rich

  6. Another CT main character bites the dust

Biggest Longs: Chainlink + Ethereum + Base Ecosystem (Altcoinist, DickButt) + Basegods

Biggest Shorts: Alt Layer 1s (without real users) + Fartcoin / PNUT

Executive, Growth & Investor Relations
…skate to where the puck is going…

Predictions:

  1. Base surpasses Solana. Coinbase is shifting attention to disrupting finance onchain with Base. Base will replace Solana as the retail ecosystem due to long term focus on projects and infrastructure beyond memes

  2. Decentralized Science becomes widely used. Research Hub and other DeSci plays are becoming increasingly attractive for scientists. Anecdotally, I have spoken to multiple people in science who are already seeing the benefit and incentive to move towards a decentralized approach in the industry

  3. Ink, launched by Kraken, becomes a top 3 Layer 2. Kraken has massive reach and has taken Coinbase's playbook of moving their users onchain. Kraken will be a top 3 Layer 2 by TVL and volume in 2025

  4. Additional institutions launch Layer 2s on Ethereum. Deutsch Bank made history as becoming the first bank to create an L2 on Ethereum using ZKSync infrastructure

Biggest Longs: Base memes & Aerodrome + Moonwell

Biggest Shorts: Solana memes (too many rugs)

Research
…there is no second best superchain…

Predictions:

  1. Launch of Uniswap V4 and a direct integration into an existing fintech app such as Robinhood using custom hooks to KYC liquidity sources and allow only certain tokens for trading

  2. Ethereum Staked ETF approval which sparks new demand for ETH as an asset especially for certain cohorts of brokerage money (retirement folks) who would like exposure to some volatility but also want dividend-like yield

  3. A new Ethereum layer 2 competes with Base on metrics such as daily active users, gas consumed per block, daily blobs posted on Ethereum mainnet

Biggest Longs: Ethereum, Eigenlayer, CowSwap

Biggest Shorts: Ethena USDe, Tron, Hyperliquid

Executive, Finance
…resident bear keeps us all humble…

Predictions:

  1. Ethereum outperforms Bitcoin in 1H 2025

  2. USA enters recession in Q4 2025

Biggest Longs: Ethereum + Chainlink

Biggest Shorts: Ripple + PEPE

Research
…Barron Trump is 100% on crypto twitter…

Predictions:

  1. President Trump creates a strategic bitcoin reserve

  2. Market tops in 2025 around $10 Trillion

Biggest Longs: Bitcoin + AI agent infrastructure

Biggest Shorts: Ethereum L2s and restaking protocols + Celestia / VC coins with big unlocks

Operations, Culture
…only chads call specific pumps…

Predictions:

  1. AI leads the charge but a lot of the biggest coins struggle to get listed on the big exchanges because of their fair launch tokenomics. This leads to mainstream defi adoption as more and more people learn to trade on chain and it gets easier and “safer” - this goes along with the rise of base but the eco is capped bc of lack of real token

  2. RWA have a month where they are all the rage which leads to a mega pump of Avalanche as they somehow figure out how to dominate that narrative

  3. Gaming has a month where Arbitrum pumps silly as people see it as the “gaming layer 2”

  4. Last cycle darlings continue to underperform even though “they haven’t pumped yet” as the space is evolving and old tech gets left in the dust

Biggest Longs: HYPE and its ecosystem go bonkers as hype-evm is rolled out but ends up insanely overbought and crashes as hard as anything in 2026 + ARC ends up being the biggest AI agent (sitting around 250m) as it catches up and eventually passes Virtuals

Biggest Shorts: Fuck off I’m not a bear. Giga bullish till end of Q3 2025

Operations
…can’t have a 100x if you sell at 10x…

Predictions:

  1. Provenance Blockchain’s HASH Token to Reach $10B+ Market Cap. The HASH token will likely list on centralized exchanges (CEXs) and experience explosive growth

  2. Securitize and/or tZERO to be acquired by a major crypto CEX or institutional asset manager for their valuable infra & licenses. Securitize’s comprehensive regulatory coverage coupled with BlackRock’s backing, and tZERO’s SPDB license with Intercontinental Exchange’s (ICE) backing, make them prime acquisition targets. With tokenization becoming increasingly mainstream, these platforms’ ability to compliantly tokenize real-world assets will become indispensable to larger players

  3. Stablecoin Market Cap to Surpass $500B. As businesses and institutions increasingly adopt stablecoins for transactions and treasury management, their utility and demand will soar, solidifying their role as a critical pillar in the digital asset ecosystem

Biggest Longs: Ethereum, HASH, Avalanche

Biggest Shorts: Ripple, Cardano

Operations, Culture
…getting dirt money…

Predictions:

  1. DOGE to $1. It was destined , don’t overthink it

  2. Base continues to grow and become biggest Layer 2 (overtaking Arbitrum)

  3. Memecoins will be a leading category, replacing the NFT hype. Basically NFTs but liquid

Biggest Longs: DOGE, AERO

Biggest Shorts: Litecoin, The nonbelievers, DOGE

…bears are right, bulls make money…

Let 2025 bless us with great health, positive relationships, and the chance to make a difference. Remember, no one cares. Work harder.

Cheers,

Whitetail & the AB Team

AB updates are for informational purposes only. Do not construe any of the following as investment, financial, or other advice. You make your own decisions. Always do your own research. Never risk more than you are willing to lose.

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