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Canadian politics by the numbers. 🍁 Subscribe to 338Canada for in-depth analysis of polling data, electoral maps, and Canada's ever-changing political landscape.

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No Quebec Referendum Until Trump Is Gone, PQ Leader Says

PQ leader sees the same polls we do.

Léger: Enough Concessions, Say Most Canadians

Only 15% believe the Carney government has stood up aggressively to the U.S., while 56% now favour a hard line in trade negotiations.

338 Sunday Update: Away from the House, Conservatives Keep Losing Ground

Pollsters disagree on the size of the Liberal lead, but the latest numbers all point to a difficult summer for Pierre Poilievre’s Conservatives, with one month to go before Parliament returns.

The Numbers: Pierre Poilievre's Problematic Polls

Poilievre is trailing Carney by similar margins Trudeau was trailing Poilievre in late 2024...

A Trio of Troubling Polls for the Conservatives

Liberal leads of 12, 13 and 20 points in new August polls offer little comfort to Pierre Poilievre and the CPC.

Carney Liberals Narrow Fundraising Gap with Conservatives

Provincial Conservatives lead second-quarter fundraising in B.C. and Alberta, but their NDP rivals bounced back after weaker starts to the year.

338 Sunday Update: Chicoutimi, Maybe... But Surely Not Brantford?

Another Conservative resignation will trigger a by-election that could put Pierre Poilievre’s CPC to the test in one of its longtime Ontario strongholds.

Quebec’s Election Is Closing In, and the CAQ Is Still in Trouble

Polls say Fréchette could be leading the party toward its worst showing ever

PQ Maintains Lead as Support for Sovereignty Stalls

The latest Pallas Data poll finds the Parti Québécois holding the lead in voting intentions, while support for Quebec sovereignty and for holding a referendum remains stuck around 30%.

338 Sunday Update: We Love Civics

And the Civic Holiday even more so.