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Canadian politics by the numbers. 🍁 Subscribe to 338Canada for in-depth analysis of polling data, electoral maps, and Canada's ever-changing political landscape.

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338 Sunday Update: Away from the House, Conservatives Keep Losing Ground

Pollsters disagree on the size of the Liberal lead, but the latest numbers all point to a difficult summer for Pierre Poilievre’s Conservatives, with one month to go before Parliament returns.

The Numbers: Pierre Poilievre's Problematic Polls

Poilievre is trailing Carney by similar margins Trudeau was trailing Poilievre in late 2024...

A Trio of Troubling Polls for the Conservatives

Liberal leads of 12, 13 and 20 points in new August polls offer little comfort to Pierre Poilievre and the CPC.

Carney Liberals Narrow Fundraising Gap with Conservatives

Provincial Conservatives lead second-quarter fundraising in B.C. and Alberta, but their NDP rivals bounced back after weaker starts to the year.

338 Sunday Update: Chicoutimi, Maybe... But Surely Not Brantford?

Another Conservative resignation will trigger a by-election that could put Pierre Poilievre’s CPC to the test in one of its longtime Ontario strongholds.

Quebec’s Election Is Closing In, and the CAQ Is Still in Trouble

Polls say Fréchette could be leading the party toward its worst showing ever

PQ Maintains Lead as Support for Sovereignty Stalls

The latest Pallas Data poll finds the Parti Québécois holding the lead in voting intentions, while support for Quebec sovereignty and for holding a referendum remains stuck around 30%.

338 Sunday Update: We Love Civics

And the Civic Holiday even more so.

The Numbers: Just How Big Is the Liberal Lead, Really?

Because size matters, even with July polling.

Léger: Amid New Tariffs, Confidence in Carney Holds

Three-quarters of Canadians see Trump's latest tariffs as a threat to the economy, while voters following the dispute most closely express the greatest confidence in the prime minister.

Polls Disagree on the Race, but Agree on Poilievre

The latest Nanos and Angus Reid polls disagree on the size of the Liberal lead, but not on the Conservative leader's personal standing.

338 Sunday Update: All Eyes on Chicoutimi (and Tariffs)

Three federal by-elections are set for August 31, as new polling suggests Canadians continue to back Mark Carney's handling of trade relationships.

The Numbers: Will Trump's New Tariffs Move the Polls?

Or will they merely cause a shrug and eyeroll?

Could Trump's Latest Tariffs Hurt Carney?

From Trudeau's rebound to Carney's sustained high approval numbers, polls suggest Canadians have rallied behind their federal government as tensions with Washington have escalated. Will it last?

338 Sunday Update: No Summer Slump for the Liberals

Liberals hold steady, Conservatives remain stalled, and the NDP still can’t find momentum.

Broad Support for New Pipelines Across Canada

Even amid another summer of wildfire smoke and orange skies, new polling from the Angus Reid Institute show majorities back proposed projects to British Columbia and Ontario.

The Numbers: Maybe we were wrong?

Last week, we pre-scoffed. This week, we take it (partially) back.

The Numbers: New Leader, Who Dis?

And a Senate appointment that feels like a defection...

338 Sunday Update: Summer Plateau

Federal polling enters a midsummer groove, with little movement across the board.

The Numbers: New Leader Draft!

Who will rise up the ranks of their parties in the next twelve months? Time for a new draft!